• ADVISORY: TD Claudette 13

    From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 20 19:09:00 2021
    575
    WTNT33 KNHC 202031
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Claudette Advisory Number 13
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021
    500 PM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021

    ...CLAUDETTE FORECAST TO RE-STRENGTHEN BEFORE IT EXITS THE COAST
    OF NORTH CAROLINA...
    ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
    THE CAROLINAS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...34.2N 82.5W
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF COLUMBIA SOUTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM W OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Little River Inlet to Duck, North Carolina
    * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * South Santee River, South Carolina to Little River Inlet

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
    24 to 36 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
    36 hours.

    Interests elsewhere across the Carolinas should monitor the
    progress of this system.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
    Claudette was located near latitude 34.2 North, longitude 82.5 West.
    The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28
    km/h). An east-northeastward to northeastward motion with some
    increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.
    On the forecast track, the system should continue to move across
    portions of the southeastern U.S. through tonight, move over the
    coast of North Carolina into the western Atlantic Ocean on Monday,
    and pass near or just south of Nova Scotia on Tuesday.

    Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Some re-strengthening is expected tonight, and Claudette is
    forecast to become a tropical storm again late tonight or early
    Monday over eastern North Carolina. Some additional strengthening
    is possible over the western Atlantic Ocean through early Tuesday.
    Claudette is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone Tuesday
    afternoon or Tuesday night.

    The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations is
    1009 mb (29.80 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Claudette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC,
    and on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov .

    RAINFALL: Claudette is expected to produce additional rainfall
    totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches
    across North Florida, southeastern Georgia, central and coastal
    South Carolina into central to eastern North Carolina through Monday
    morning. Flash, urban and small stream flooding impacts, as well as
    isolated minor river flooding are possible across these areas.

    Storm total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated 15 inch amounts
    was observed in southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern
    Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle.

    For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with
    Claudette, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS3 with the
    WMO header ACUS43 KWBC or at the following link: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html__;!!DZ3fjg!se3DVZvT_nUuE9nzFuYlQYwslGNTXAUw3OUyvbH7UHi8ivzRJ-DT1RhNQNKJ2xyVKXRpVgRr$


    STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
    cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
    waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
    the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    NC/VA Border to Cape Lookout, NC...1-3 ft
    Cape Lookout, NC to Little River Inlet, SC...1-2 ft

    Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
    and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by
    your local National Weather Service forecast office.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the
    warning area late tonight or early Monday. Tropical storm
    conditions are possible in the watch area tonight and Monday.

    TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible this evening across
    parts of the central and eastern Carolinas.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
    Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown
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