-
OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed May 19 16:56:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 191724
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed May 19 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop a few
hundred miles northeast of Bermuda by tomorrow afternoon and
produce gale-force winds. The low is then forecast to move
west-southwestward over warmer waters on Friday and could become a
short-lived subtropical cyclone over the weekend to the northeast
of Bermuda. The system is expected to move toward the north and
northeast into a more hostile environment by Monday. For more
information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued
by the Ocean Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts for this system can be found under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Blake
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu May 20 16:17:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 201754
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu May 20 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical low pressure system located about 650 miles east-
northeast of Bermuda is now moving northward, and recent satellite
wind data indicate that the system has gale-force winds. The low
is expected to turn westward and west-southwestward over warmer
waters tonight and Friday, and it will likely become a subtropical
cyclone near and to the northeast of Bermuda on Friday. After that
time, the system is expected to move toward the north and northeast
into a more hostile environment by late Sunday into Monday. For more information on this developing low pressure area, please see High
Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center and
forecast products, including a tropical storm watch, issued by the
Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts for this system can be found under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Beven
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sat May 22 10:05:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 221136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat May 22 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
developed Subtropical Storm Ana, located about 180 miles northeast
of Bermuda.
Surface observations and radar data indicate that the area of low
pressure previously over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has moved
inland over southeastern Texas. Therefore, tropical cyclone
formation is not expected. However, the system could produce heavy
rainfall over portions of southeastern Texas and southwestern
Louisiana today. Given the complete saturation of soils with
ongoing river flooding along the Texas and Louisiana coastal areas,
these rains could lead to flash, urban, and additional riverine
flooding across this region. Additional information on the rainfall
and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your
local National Weather Service Forecast Office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Beven
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun May 23 08:40:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 231119
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun May 23 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ana, located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon May 24 15:26:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 241725
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Latto
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Tue May 25 19:45:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 252309
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue May 25 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed May 26 16:01:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 261716
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed May 26 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu May 27 16:56:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 271715
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu May 27 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Fri May 28 10:10:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 281116
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 28 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 1 16:46:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 011723
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 1 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 2 15:44:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 021717
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 2 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 3 15:45:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 031714
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 3 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jun 4 10:42:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 041125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 4 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Blake
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 7 15:59:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 071744
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea by Thursday or Friday. Some gradual development will
be possible thereafter as the system moves slowly northwestward
toward Central America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 8 15:29:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 081741
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Some
gradual development will be possible thereafter while the system
moves slowly northwestward toward Central America. Regardless of
development, this system could produce heavy rainfall across
northern Colombia and portions of Central America from Honduras
southward later this week and into the weekend. See products from
your local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 9 14:47:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 091746
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two following the
passage of a tropical wave. Significant development of this system
appears unlikely as it drifts west-northwestward or northwestward
toward Central America. Regardless of development, this system
could produce heavy rainfall across northern Colombia and portions
of Central America from Honduras southward late this week and over
the weekend. See products from your local meteorological service
for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 10 14:32:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 101748
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 10 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jun 19 10:33:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 191150
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently designated Tropical Storm Claudette, located inland over
southeastern Louisiana.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jun 19 18:16:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 191736
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Tropical Storm Claudette, located inland over
southeastern Mississippi.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 20 07:58:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 201109
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Claudette, located inland over west-central Georgia.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Stewart/Brown
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 20 19:18:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 201701
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Claudette, located inland over east-central Georgia.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Stewart/Brown
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 21 15:48:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 211717
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Claudette, located over the western Atlantic about 150 miles east-northeast of the North Carolina Outer Banks.
A tropical wave located about 750 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms. Although shower activity has diminished some this
afternoon, recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that
the wave has become better defined since yesterday. Some additional
development of this disturbance will be possible during the next
couple of days before upper-level winds become less conducive for
further organization by Thursday. The system is expected to move
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 27 17:54:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 271732
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 27 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and nearby buoy and ship observations indicate
that a small low pressure system has formed about 500 miles
east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border. Surface
pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and
thunderstorms have recently become better organized. Some additional development of this system will be possible later today, and
especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer
waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form
before the system makes landfall along the southern U.S. coast. The
low is expected to move westward today, and then west-northwestward
at about 15 mph on Monday, reaching the coast of the southeastern
United States by late Monday. An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located over
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean more than 700 miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Little, if any, development of this system is
expected for the next couple of days, followed by some gradual
development by Wednesday and continuing through the end of the week
while it moves it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 20
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart/Latto
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 28 19:53:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 282333
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 28 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Danny, located near the southern South Carolina coast.
Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in
association with a tropical wave located over the central Atlantic
Ocean. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible later
this week and this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser
Antilles by Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Danny are issued under
WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Four are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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-
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 30 16:38:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 301735
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area
and tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands have become better organized since yesterday.
However, recent satellite wind data indicates that the disturbance
does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions
appear generally favorable for continued development, and a tropical
depression or storm is likely to form during the next day or two
while the system moves west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph.
Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress
of this system, as advisories on a potential tropical cyclone,
accompanied by tropical storm watches for portions of this area, are
likely to be issued later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical
wave located over the Lesser Antilles. This system has become less
organized since yesterday, and significant development is no longer
expected while it moves quickly westward across the Caribbean Sea.
The wave should continue to produce locally heavy rains over
portions of the Lesser Antilles through tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Apr 25 08:32:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 242007
TWOAT
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
410 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
East-Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 900 miles northwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands has been producing a small but persistent area
of showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center since this
morning. However, the low is forecast to move southwestward at 10
to 15 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds tonight and
tomorrow, and additional development is not expected.
No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for
this system unless conditions warrant. Regularly scheduled
Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2024, and Special
Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the
remainder of the off-season.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg/Brown
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri May 17 09:27:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 171137
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat May 18 09:05:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 181135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun May 19 08:45:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 191113
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon May 20 08:57:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 201118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue May 21 08:56:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 211118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed May 22 07:51:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 221130
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu May 23 07:56:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 231145
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Atlantic:
A large area of cloudiness and showers over the southwestern
Atlantic is associated with a surface trough. An area of low
pressure is expected to form within this system a few hundred miles
north of Hispaniola in the next day or so. Environmental conditions
are not expected to be conducive, however, some slight tropical or
subtropical development is possible while the low moves
northeastward through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci/Pasch
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri May 24 08:27:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 241130
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms a few hundred miles to the northeast of the central
Bahamas. An area of low pressure is expected to form within this
system roughly halfway between Bermuda and Hispaniola later today.
Although environmental conditions are not conducive, some slight
subtropical or tropical development is possible over the next couple
of days while the system moves northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon May 27 11:01:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 271132
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue May 28 09:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281127
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed May 29 07:38:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 291124
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu May 30 08:49:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 301133
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu May 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri May 31 09:30:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 311117
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 2 08:39:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 021123
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 3 08:46:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 031115
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake
= = = = = = =
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 4 08:23:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 041125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake
= = = = = = =
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 5 08:23:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051120
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 6 08:39:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 061117
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jun 7 08:22:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 071128
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jun 8 10:18:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 081125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 9 08:21:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 091116
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 9 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
d
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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 10 07:01:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 101119
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 11 07:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 111125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Eastern Gulf of Mexico and Offshore Southeast U.S.:
A trough of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
This system is expected to move northeastward across Florida during
the next day or so and offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast later
this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally
unfavorable, although some slow development is possible when the
system is offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Florida
during the next few days. For more information, see products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service
Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
and National Weather Service forecast
information can be found at
http://www.weather.gov ._
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 12 08:16:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121146
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Florida Peninsula and Offshore Southeast U.S. (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure over the Florida peninsula is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Although upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally
conducive, some slow development is possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast tonight through
late week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is forecast
to continue across portions of the Florida peninsula during the
next few days. For more information, see products issued by the
Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service
Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form over the weekend across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for some slow development early next week while the
system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
and National Weather Service forecast information can be found at
http://www.weather.gov .
$$
Forecaster Kelly
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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 13 07:59:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 131134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure offshore the coast of Florida is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Despite strong upper-level winds, some gradual development is
possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the
southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of days. Regardless
of development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across
portions of the Florida peninsula through late this week. For more
information, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center
and local National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend or early next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jun 14 09:08:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 141138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the low
pressure area offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast has become a
little better organized since yesterday. However, upper-level
winds remain strong, and the system is forecast to merge with a
front over the western Atlantic Saturday or Sunday. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across portions
of the Florida peninsula through Saturday. For more information,
see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and local
National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 17 08:30:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 171133
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a broad
area of low pressure is forming over the Bay of Campeche.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional gradual
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely
to form by midweek while it moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward toward the western Gulf coast.
Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are
expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America, and
these rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash
flooding. Locally heavy rainfall is also expected to spread over
portions of the northwestern coast of the Gulf of Mexico by the
middle of the week. In addition, gale warnings have been issued for
portions of the Gulf of Mexico, and more information on those
warnings is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf
coasts should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and
an upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions
could be conducive for some development of this system during the
next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The
system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeast United
States on Thursday or Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 18 08:17:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 181140
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone One, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
An area of cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles east
of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and an
upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could be
conducive for some gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The
system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeastern United
States on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 19 08:53:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 191143
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone One, located over the western Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
An area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough of low
pressure. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some
gradual development of this system during the next few days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward. The system is forecast to
approach the coast of the southeastern United States by the latter
part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
through early next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 20 08:35:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 201145
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Alberto, located inland over northeastern Mexico.
Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
A small area of low pressure located about 150 miles east of the
northernmost Bahamas continues to produce disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity. While environmental conditions are only
marginally conducive due to nearby dry air, further development of
this system could lead to the development of a tropical depression
while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph and
approaches the northeastern coast of Florida or the Georgia coast
early on Friday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern
Mexico and northern Central America on Friday. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this
system moves over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, and a tropical
depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this
weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jun 21 08:20:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 211152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
A small area of showers and thunderstorms persists with a low
pressure system located around 150 miles east-southeast of
Jacksonville, Florida. An Air Force Reserve aircraft is currently
investigating the system to determine if the low has a well-defined
surface circulation. Environmental conditions remain marginally
conducive for some additional development, and this system could
become a short-lived tropical depression as the low moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to reach
the coast of northeastern Florida or Georgia by tonight, and
interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern
Mexico later today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche
tonight, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward
or northwestward. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jun 22 08:51:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 221144
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system as it moves slowly
west-northwestward or northwestward, and a tropical depression could
form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico
Sunday night. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could
cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and
Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Near the Georgia Coast (AL92):
A low pressure system centered inland over southeastern Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly over the
coastal waters off of northeastern Florida and Georgia. The low
is expected to drift slowly northwestward or northward today before
dissipating tonight. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 23 13:11:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 231727
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a low pressure area centered about 20 miles southeast of La Pesca,
Mexico. The low is expected to move inland within the next few
hours, and the chance of tropical cyclone formation is decreasing.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely to continue
through tonight across portions of northeastern Mexico, leading to
localized flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 24 08:29:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 241136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 25 07:34:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 251118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A westward-moving tropical wave located over the southeastern
Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development once
the wave reaches the western Caribbean late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 26 09:18:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 261141
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing
disorganized shower activity while it moves quickly westward at
around 25 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive
for some gradual development in a couple of days over the western
Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible
during the next several days while it moves generally westward
across the central and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch/Roberts
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 27 08:02:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 270522
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A tropical wave over the west-central Caribbean Sea is producing
widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity while
it moves rapidly westward at around 25 mph. Environmental
conditions could become more conducive for some gradual development
later this week over the western Caribbean Sea or over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
unusually conducive for late June across the central and western
tropical Atlantic, and further development of this system is
anticipated. A tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to
form this weekend several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands
while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jun 28 09:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea
associated with a tropical wave continues to produce widespread
shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not
expected today while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph,
and an Air Force reconnaissance mission planned for today has been
canceled. The disturbance is then expected to move westward over the
Yucatan Peninsula and emerge over the Bay of Campeche late Saturday
or early Sunday, at which point some development will be possible.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the
tropical wave will affect portions of Central America and Mexico
through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A low pressure system located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is gradually becoming better defined. Showers and thunderstorms are also showing signs of organization, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm will likely form later today or on
Saturday. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph
and approach the Lesser Antilles by the end of the weekend.
Interests there should monitor the progress of this system. For
more information, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave centered several hundred miles south-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible
next week while it moves generally westward across the central
and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Zelinsky
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jun 29 08:04:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 291125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the Bay of
Campeche tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally
conducive for further development. A tropical depression could
form before the system moves inland again early next week over
Mexico. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor
the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will affect
portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 30 09:15:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 301120
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
An area of low pressure located over the southern portion
of the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
further development, and a short-lived tropical depression could
form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday morning.
Interests along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
associated with the area of low pressure will continue to affect
portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week. An
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 30 20:11:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 302352
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located a couple hundred miles east of the Windward Islands
and on newly formed Tropical Depression Three, located over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor
the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jul 1 08:00:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011147
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, nearing the Windward Islands and Tropical Depression
Chris, located inland over eastern Mexico.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located over 1000 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western tropical
Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Chris are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Chris are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jul 1 14:27:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011720
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located near the Windward Islands and have issued the last
advisory on the Remnants of Chris, located inland over eastern
Mexico.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located over 1000 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western tropical
Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jul 2 08:31:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 021144
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development of this system while it moves generally westward at 15
to 20 mph across the western tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean
Sea. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should still monitor the
progress of this system, with heavy rainfall possible midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jul 3 07:15:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 031135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located over the central Caribbean Sea.
East of the Windward Islands (AL96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association
with a tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the
Windward Islands. Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at
20 to 25 mph across the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development,
gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible across portions
of the Lesser Antilles today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jul 4 08:14:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 041139
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL96):
A fast-moving tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea
is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it
moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph across
the Caribbean Sea through this weekend. The system is forecast to
cross the Yucatan Peninsula and enter the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico by early next week where some development could occur. Gusty
winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible across portions of the
Greater Antilles over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jul 5 08:35:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051145
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located just inland over the northeastern portion of the
Yucatan Peninsula.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jul 10 07:19:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 101142
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Beryl, located inland near the Indiana/Ohio border.
Off the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A broad trough of low pressure located off the southeastern U.S.
coast is currently producing some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear only marginally
favorable for some additional development of this system over the
next couple of days before it moves inland over the southeastern
U.S. by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Hagen
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jul 11 09:21:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 111116
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center has issued its final advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl, located over southeastern Canada.
Off the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the
southeastern U.S. coast continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions do not appear favorable
for much additional development of this system over the next day or
two before it moves inland over the southeastern U.S. by this
weekend. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible
for portions of the Carolina coast late this week into the weekend.
For more information about the potential for heavy rainfall, see
products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and your local
National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jul 12 09:36:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121115
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Off the South Carolina Coast:
A broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles off the
coast of South Carolina continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds should limit any
development of this system before it moves inland over South
Carolina and North Carolina later today. However, the disturbance
could contribute to areas of heavy rainfall and possible flash
flooding across coastal portions of the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic
through tonight. For more information about the potential for heavy
rainfall, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and
your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jul 27 09:24:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 271144
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Development of this system is possible
while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early to middle
part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward near or
over the Greater Antilles towards the latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jul 28 08:30:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281139
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become conducive for some development in a day or two, and a
tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is
near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jul 29 09:31:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 291119
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become conducive for some development thereafter, and a
tropical depression could form later this week while the system is
in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jul 30 09:39:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 301143
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas:
A large tropical wave centered several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing limited shower activity due to
environmental dry air. Conditions are forecast to become a little
more conducive for development over the warmer waters of the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and a tropical depression could form
late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater
Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the
Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jul 31 08:58:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 311137
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas:
A large tropical wave located near the Lesser Antilles continues to
produce a broad area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become
more conducive for development while the system moves generally west-northwestward over the Greater Antilles and towards the
Bahamas. A tropical depression could form by this weekend while the
system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, or near
Florida. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the
southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Landsea
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Aug 1 07:57:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico:
A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto
Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the adjacent waters of the
southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of
this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days
while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater
Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more
conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater
Antilles, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early
next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or near the Florida
Peninsula. Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and
Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Aug 1 18:18:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011735
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico,
the Southeastern Bahamas, and the adjacent waters of the
southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of
this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while
it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles.
However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a
tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next
week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula.
Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida
should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Aug 2 07:50:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 021129
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Straits of Florida and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of poorly
organized showers and thunderstorms over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola,
the southeastern Bahamas, and Jamaica, as well as the adjacent
waters of the southwestern Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea. The wave
is expected to move near or over Cuba throughout the day and then
emerge over the Straits of Florida tonight or Saturday.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development after that time, and a tropical depression is likely to
form this weekend over the Straits of Florida or eastern Gulf of
Mexico near the Florida Peninsula. Tropical storm watches or
warnings could be required for portions of Florida later today.
Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause areas of flash
flooding across Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas through the weekend,
and interests in these locations should continue to monitor the
progress of this system. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Aug 4 17:00:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 041734
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
East of the Windward Islands:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles to the east of the
Windward Islands continues to produce an area of showers and
thunderstorms, and earlier satellite wind data showed winds of 30-35
mph just north of the wave axis. Environmental conditions appear
generally favorable for some slow development of this system over
the next week as the system moves quickly westward at around 20 mph,
crossing the Windward Islands early this week and moving into the
central and western Caribbean by the mid to latter part of this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Aug 5 08:48:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051128
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Debby, centered inland near the Florida Big Bend.
East of the Windward Islands:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
near the Windward Islands have decreased and become less organized
since yesterday. Any development of this system should be slow to
occur during the next couple of days while the system moves westward
over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are
expected to become more conducive for development later this week as
the system moves across the western Caribbean Sea or the southern
Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Aug 6 09:08:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 061106
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located near the Georgia coastline.
Western Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
over the east-central Caribbean Sea have changed little this
morning. Any development of this system should be slow to occur
during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the
central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are expected to
become more conducive for development later this week as the system
moves across the western Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hogsett
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Aug 7 07:56:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 071125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 7 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located just offshore of the Georgia and South
Carolina coastline.
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the
southwestern Caribbean sea are associated with a tropical wave.
The northern portion of this tropical wave could reach the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, however, any
development of this system should be slow to occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Aug 8 09:11:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 081136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located over South Carolina.
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of low pressure could form in the central or western
tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week. Some development of this
system is possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during
the early to middle part of next week and moves generally
west-northwestward toward the Greater Antilles thereafter.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Aug 9 10:02:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 091149
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Debby, located inland over the Mid-Atlantic region.
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles to the west-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the tropical Atlantic. Any
development of the wave should be slow to occur during the next
couple of days while it moves westward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development while the wave moves west-northwestward,
and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the
system approaches the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast
to continue moving generally west-northwestward and could approach
the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Aug 10 09:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 101135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in
association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the
Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Gradual development of
this system is possible during the next couple of days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the early to middle part of next week while the system
approaches and then moves near or over the Lesser Antilles. The
system is forecast to continue moving generally west-northwestward
and could approach portions of the Greater Antilles by the middle to
latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Aug 11 07:40:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 111121
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
next couple of days while the system approaches and then moves near
or over the Leeward Islands. Interests on these islands should
continue to monitor the progress of this system, and watches
or warnings could be required for portions of the area as soon as
later today. The system could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Aug 12 10:02:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121124
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Five, located a few hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five are issued
under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five are issued
under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Aug 21 08:47:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 211114
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Aug 27 09:04:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 271126
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the
Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of
this system this weekend into early next week as it moves westward
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Aug 28 09:26:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281121
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of
Bermuda is producing a small area of disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Dry air and strong upper-level winds are
expected to limit additional development of this system during the
next day or so while the low moves northward to north-northeastward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the
Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of
the system this weekend into early next week while it moves westward
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Aug 29 10:01:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 291133
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over the central Tropical Atlantic Ocean is
producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph and approaches the Lesser Antilles.
The system is then forecast to move westward to west-northwestward
across portions of the eastern Caribbean Sea during the middle part
of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Aug 30 10:06:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 301148
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the
central tropical Atlantic remain disorganized. Gradual development
of this system is possible during the next few days, and a tropical
depression could form some time next week while it moves westward,
reaching the Lesser Antilles on Monday and continuing across the
Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm
activity. Some slow development of this system is possible through
late next week while it moves slowly to the west-northwest over the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Aug 31 09:45:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 311154
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing
some disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore
the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger
near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development
is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development,
heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of
coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and
reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday. Thereafter, environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form while it continues moving
westward across the Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part
of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves
slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic through late next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Mahoney
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Sep 1 09:55:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011143
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast continues to
produce some shower and thunderstorm activity along and just
offshore of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is
expected to linger near the coast for the next several days, and
some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. Regardless
of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across
portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed little in
organization since yesterday. Some slow development is possible as
the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on
Monday. The wave is expected to move across the central and western
Caribbean Sea later this week, where conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form during that time. Regardless of development,
this system could result in some gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Lesser Antilles on Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on
Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly
westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Sep 2 08:55:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 021136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad and weak area of low pressure just offshore of the middle
Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower activity
along portions of the coast of Texas and over the adjacent waters of
the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to meander
for another day or so, and some slow development is possible if it
remains offshore. On Tuesday, the low is forecast to move inland,
and further development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains
could cause some flash flooding across portions of the Texas coast
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty
winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and over
the adjacent eastern Caribbean waters. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development when the system
reaches the western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico
late this week and over the weekend, and a tropical depression could
form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave just offshore of the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form in a few days
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system
could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Sep 3 08:37:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 031153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea.
This system is expected to move westward, and a tropical depression
could form when it reaches the western Caribbean Sea and the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and
a tropical depression could form later this week while the
disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce
locally heavy rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about midway between the west coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward. By
the end of the week, however, environmental conditions are expected
to become unfavorable for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/R. Zelinsky
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Sep 4 09:48:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 041151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is
producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
near southeastern Cuba, Jamaica, and across portions of the central
Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible late this week when the
wave slows down over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next
week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about 800 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also
producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of
this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy rains
across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Sep 5 08:46:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwest Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure is producing widespread disorganized
showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico,
including near the coasts of Louisiana and Texas. Upper-level
winds are expected to become less conducive for development by
Friday and Saturday as a frontal boundary approaches the system.
Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected
across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or
so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east
of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms to the northeast and east of its center. This system
could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next couple
of days while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining
offshore of the northeastern United States. Once the low moves
over cooler waters by late Saturday, further subtropical development
is not expected. Additional information on this system, including
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it drifts northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased slightly in
association with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the
western Caribbean Sea. Significant development appears unlikely
before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early
Friday. Some development is possible late in the weekend into early
next week after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the
Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development
of this system during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow
development while the system moves west-northwestward over the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Sep 6 08:11:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 061153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL90):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system and
weak frontal boundary over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remain
disorganized. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable
for significant development of this system while it meanders over
the northwestern Gulf and eventually merges with another approaching
frontal system later today or on Saturday. Although tropical
cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to
continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next
day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northwestern Atlantic (AL99):
Satellite images indicate that a gale-force low pressure system
located several hundred miles east of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast
is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are
increasingly taking on a non-tropical structure. The low is
forecast to move north-northeastward at 15 to 20 mph offshore the
northeastern United States, reaching colder waters by this evening
and overnight, and its opportunity to acquire subtropical
characteristics appears to be decreasing. Additional information
on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located near the coast of Belize and the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is forecast to move across Central
America and southeastern Mexico today and tonight, and some slow
development is possible over the weekend after the system emerges
over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical
Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the disturbance
meanders through the early part of next week and then begins to
move west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during
the middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Sep 8 08:14:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 081248 CCA
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024
Corrected category for the 48 hour probability for AL92
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association
with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico. This system is forecast to drift slowly northwestward
during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are
expected to become conducive for additional development. A tropical
depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the
system moves generally northwestward and then northward near or
along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of the
week. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf Coast should
closely monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be
required for portions of the western Gulf coast later today or
tonight. An Air-Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is also
scheduled to investigate the system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low
pressure over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show some
signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form while the system meanders over the central tropical
Atlantic through Monday and then begins to move generally westward
at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very
little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts
with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of
Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected
to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the
week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Sep 8 12:58:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 081754
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico continues to produce a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. Satellite-derived winds show this system does not yet
have a well-defined center, but is producing winds of 40 to 45 mph
on its western side. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development and a tropical storm is expected to form
during the next day or so. The system is forecast to move generally northwestward and then northward near or along the Gulf coast of
Mexico, upper Texas, and Louisiana coasts with additional
strengthening possible by the middle of this week.
Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico, upper Texas, and Louisiana
coasts should closely monitor the progress of this system. Tropical
Storm Watches could be required for portions of the coast of
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas later this afternoon or
tonight, with additional watches possible along the coast of Texas
and Louisiana later tonight or Monday. An Air-Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently in route to to investigate
the system this afternoon. Additional information on this system,
including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show signs of
organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system over the next couple of days,
and a tropical depression is now likely to form during that time
while the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic. By
the middle of this week the system should begin moving more westward
at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very
little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts
with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of
Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected
to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the
week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Sep 9 09:12:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 091107
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Six, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are marginally conducive for development during the next
few days, and a tropical depression could form while the system
meanders over the central tropical Atlantic. By the middle part of
the week, the system is forecast to move westward-northwestward at
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. In a couple of days,
this trough is expected to interact with an approaching tropical
wave. Afterward, Environmental conditions appear favorable for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form during the middle to latter part of this week while the system
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Sep 10 08:36:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 101131
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Francine, located in the Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles
offshore of northeastern Mexico.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only
marginally conducive for some slight development during the next
couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during
that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to interact and merge with a
strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and
the Cabo Verde Islands over the next couple of days. Thereafter,
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of
this combined system, and a tropical depression will likely form
during the latter part of this week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Sep 11 12:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 111742
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Francine, located just south of Louisiana, and on newly formed
Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally
conducive for some slight development during the next day or two
while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an
area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its
chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A small but well-defined area of low pressure located several
hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing
limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The proximity of dry
air near the system is expected to limit additional development
over the next couple of days before environmental conditions
become even less conducive by this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S. over the Western Atlantic:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the
southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or
tropical development is possible during the early part of next week
while the system drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
$$
Forecaster Bann/Blake
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Sep 11 20:34:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 112349
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Francine, located over southern Louisiana and on Tropical
Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic
continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or so while the system moves
westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The
disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level
winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
east of the Leeward Islands is producing a limited area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air
near the system is expected to limit additional development over the
next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less
conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Sep 12 08:44:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Francine, located inland over south-central Mississippi,
and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic
Ocean.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of
the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves
westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms have become a bit more concentrated in
association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry
air near the system is expected to limit additional development
over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected
to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system
moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Sep 13 08:24:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 131135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Seven, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Francine, located inland over northeastern Arkansas.
Northern Leeward Islands (AL94):
Surface observations indicate a small area of low pressure is
located over the northern Leeward Islands. The system continues to
produce showers and thunderstorms this morning, but they have not
become any better organized. Environmental conditions, including the
proximity of dry air, do not favor development of this system while
it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible
across the northern Leeward Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
A non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a frontal
boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline
this weekend. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
moves generally northwestward toward the coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Sep 14 08:51:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 141119
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend
along a frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
U.S. coastline. The system could gradually acquire subtropical or
tropical characteristics thereafter over the warm waters of the Gulf
Stream, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm could form
early next week while the system moves generally northwestward
toward the coast. Additional information on this system can be found
in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly/Mahoney
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Sep 15 08:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 151137
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S. Coast (AL95):
A non-tropical low pressure area is located along a frontal
boundary a couple of hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast,
and is producing winds to gale force north of its center. The low
is forecast to move northwestward or northward over the warm waters
of the Gulf Stream toward the coasts of North Carolina and South
Carolina, and it could become a subtropical or tropical storm during
the next day or two if the associated front dissipates and showers
and thunderstorms become sufficiently organized.
Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, the low is
likely to bring gusty winds, heavy rains with the potential for
flash flooding, coastal flooding, and dangerous beach conditions to
portions of the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coast during the
next couple of days, and interests in these areas should monitor
the system's progress. Additional information can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Sep 16 08:36:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 161148
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Eight, located off the coast of the Carolinas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Sep 18 09:19:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 181131
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized over the central
tropical Atlantic in association with the remnants of Gordon. This
system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its
northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the
next couple of days. Environmental conditions could become more
conducive for development later this week, and a tropical depression
or storm could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly
northward over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early
next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some
slow development of this system is possible through the middle
of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Sep 19 08:08:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 191140
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the
central subtropical Atlantic is associated with the remnants of
Gordon. Some development of this system is possible while it
moves generally northward over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 750 miles southeast of
Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but some
development of this system is possible while it meanders over the
open waters of the central or western Subtropical Atlantic though
early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the
western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico
through the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Sep 20 09:55:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 201142
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
An area of low pressure, associated with the remnants of Gordon, is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than a
thousand miles southwest of the Azores. Due to strong upper-level
winds, any additional development of this system is expected to be
slow to occur while it meanders over the central subtropical
Atlantic during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands has
changed little in organization over the past several hours.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some
development of this system during the next couple of days while it
drifts northwestward at about 5 mph over the central or western
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by the early to middle
part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter,
gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical
depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or
northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern
Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Sep 21 09:53:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 211152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Strong upper-level winds continue to keep showers and thunderstorms
displaced away from the center of an area of low pressure (the
remnants of Gordon) located over one thousand miles southwest of the
Azores. Significant development of this system is not expected
while it moves slowly northwestward over the central subtropical
Atlantic during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located about 700 miles northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions do not appear
conducive for significant development of this system during the next
couple of days while it drifts northwestward and then northward at
about 5 mph over the central or western subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to form by the early to
middle part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
the adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and across the Gulf of
Mexico through the end of next week. Regardless of development,
this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of
Central America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of
Africa on Sunday or Monday. Gradual development of this system is
possible next week as it moves west-northwestward over the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Sep 22 08:37:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 221151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda has not
become better organized since yesterday. Although the low remains
embedded in a very dry environment, a short-lived tropical
depression cannot be ruled out if showers and thunderstorms become
better organized while the system moves generally northward at 5 to
10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the western
Caribbean Sea and portions of Central America are associated with a
very broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for gradual development of this system during the next
several days. A tropical depression is likely to form while the
system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea
and Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over
portions of Central America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is expected to move
westward during the next several days. Environmental conditions
could support some gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of
the week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Sep 23 08:58:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for further development of this system. A tropical
depression or storm is likely to form within the next day or two as
the system moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, where additional development
is expected.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy
rains over portions of Central America during the next several days.
Interests in the northwestern Caribbean, the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico, and western Cuba should closely monitor the progress of this
system, as watches or warnings will likely be required later
this morning for portions of these areas. Later this week, the
system is forecast to move generally northward across the eastern
Gulf of Mexico, and interests along the northern and northeastern
Gulf Coast should also closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located between western Africa and the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the middle to latter part of this week while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Sep 24 08:22:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 241153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Nine, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located near the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Sep 25 09:32:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 251152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Helene, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
A broad low pressure system associated with a tropical wave located
west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward
to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL99):
A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located several
hundred miles to the northeast of Bermuda. The system is currently
producing winds up to storm force, and environmental conditions
could support some subtropical or tropical development over the next
several days as the system moves generally eastward, remaining over
the open waters of central Subtropical Atlantic. Additional
information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Sep 26 08:47:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 261124
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Helene, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and on Tropical
Storm Isaac, located over the central Subtropical Atlantic Ocean.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde
Islands has become more organized during the past several hours.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development
of this system, and a tropical depression could form as soon as
later today while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward
near 15 mph today and tomorrow. The system is then forecast to
slow down and turn northward late Friday and Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac are issued under WMO
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac are issued under WMO
header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Sep 27 07:59:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 271146
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Helene, located inland over northeast Georgia and on recently
upgraded Hurricane Isaac, located over the central Subtropical
Atlantic Ocean.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located midway in between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser
Antilles continues to become better organized. This disturbance is
already producing gale-force winds. Environmental conditions are
conducive for further development and a tropical depression or storm
could form today while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is then forecast to
slow down and turn north-northwestward by this weekend. Additional
information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Western Caribbean:
An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea by
the middle of next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for slow development thereafter while the system moves
generally northwestward, potentially entering the Gulf of Mexico by
the end of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form over the eastern tropical
Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development
thereafter while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly/Rosado
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Sep 28 09:03:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaac, located several hundred miles east of the Azores, and on
Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Helene, located inland over the Ohio River
Valley.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure, associated with a
tropical wave, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
near and to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle
part of next week while the system moves toward the west and then
northwest across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea in
a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for additional development thereafter while the system moves
generally northwestward, and a tropical depression could form during
the middle to latter part of next week as the system enters the Gulf
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Konarik
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Sep 29 09:55:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 291153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaac, located several hundred miles northwest of the Azores, and
on Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands have become better organized since yesterday.
Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
early or middle part of this week while the system initially moves
westward and then northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form around the middle part of this week
while the disturbance meanders towards the west-northwest. This
system is then expected to move northwestward into the Gulf of
Mexico during the latter portion of this week, and interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should
monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Eastern Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the coast of western Africa is
currently producing limited shower activity. Some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the
eastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake/Mahoney
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Sep 30 09:20:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 301153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Isaac, located several hundred miles north of the Azores, on
Tropical Depression Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean,
and on Tropical Depression Twelve, located over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
A large and disorganized area of low pressure located over the
western and southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions could become
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could
form in a few days while the system is over the southern Gulf of
Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea. While interests in the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should
continue to monitor the progress of this system, the timetable for
potential development has shifted later toward late week or this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a
tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
in a few days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under
WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under
WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
$$
Forecaster Blake
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Oct 1 09:32:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011148
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure.
Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form towards the end of
this week or this weekend while it moves generally northwestward
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the Gulf of Mexico.
Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next
couple of days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Mora
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Oct 2 08:10:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 021134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the southwestern
Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental
conditions could support some gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form over the weekend as the broader disturbance moves fully into the Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the
U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for further development of this system, and a
tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so
while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Oct 3 09:29:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 031135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 3 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Gulf of
Mexico are associated with a surface trough. A broad area of low
pressure is likely to develop over the Gulf of Mexico late this
weekend or early next week, but subsequent tropical or subtropical
development could be limited by the system's potential interaction
with a frontal boundary. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next few days
and over portions of the Florida Peninsula next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie
are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Oct 4 09:43:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 041130
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the western Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. A broad area
of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern or
south-central Gulf of Mexico this weekend, and thereafter some
gradual development is possible while the low moves slowly eastward
or northeastward. A tropical or subtropical depression or storm
could form during the early to middle part of next week if the low
remains separate from a frontal boundary that is forecast to extend
across the Gulf of Mexico next week. Regardless of tropical or
subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over
portions of Mexico during the next few days and over portions of the
Florida Peninsula late this weekend into next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Oct 5 07:45:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051122
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually
becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected,
and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or
on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move
faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf
of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on
the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida
Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of
this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could
occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over
much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on
Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible
thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the
eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or
over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests
there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Oct 6 10:01:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 061149
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, on
Hurricane Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean,
and on Tropical Storm Milton, located over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in
a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter
while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern
tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the
Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there
should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Oct 7 09:54:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 071136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kirk, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane
Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Hurricane Milton, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in
a few days. Afterward, environmental conditions appear marginally
favorable for some slow development of this system while it moves
westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands
on Thursday or early Friday, and interests there should monitor its
progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Oct 8 07:45:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 081134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and
on Hurricane Milton, located over the southern Gulf of Mexico.
Southwestern Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure is near the northern Bahamas with
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some development of
this system is possible during the next day or so while the low
moves northeastward to east-northeastward around 15 mph. Upper-
level winds are likely to increase later in the week, which should
limit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in
a couple of days. Afterward, environmental conditions appear only
marginally favorable for some limited development of this system
while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern
tropical Atlantic, moving near the Cabo Verde Islands on Thursday or
early Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Oct 9 08:03:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 091140
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Hurricane Milton, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Southwestern Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a gale-force non-tropical
low pressure system located about 375 miles west-southwest of
Bermuda have become less organized during the last several hours.
Although environmental conditions are becoming less favorable for
development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could
still form today or this evening while the low moves northeastward
to east-northeastward at around 15 mph. Upper-level winds are
forecast to become too strong for further development later tonight.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings,
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa
tonight or early Thursday. Afterward, environmental conditions
appear only marginally favorable for some limited development of
this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward across
the eastern tropical Atlantic and through the Cabo Verde Islands on
Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Oct 10 08:08:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 101110
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Hurricane Milton, located off the east coast of central Florida.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave that has now emerged off of the west coast of Africa
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear marginal for limited development of
this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the
eastern tropical Atlantic and the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday. By
Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable,
and further development is unlikely after that time. Regardless of development, localized areas of heavy rain are possible across
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands late Thursday through Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Oct 12 08:58:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121131
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
The circulation associated with an area of low pressure located a
couple of hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands appears to
have become slightly better defined this morning. However, the
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is only marginally
well-organized, and environmental conditions are expected to become
less conducive for further development later today. A short-lived
tropical depression could still form at any time today while the
system moves generally westward. After that time, the system is
forecast to continue moving westward across the central tropical
Atlantic, but further development is not anticipated through at
least the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Oct 13 08:57:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 131151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms have diminished again in associated with
an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo
Verde Islands. While the system is currently embedded in an
environment that is not favorable for development over the next
couple of days, the system is forecast to move generally westward to west-southwestward across the tropical Atlantic, where environmental
conditions could become more favorable for gradual development in
the central Tropical Atlantic by the mid to latter part of this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Oct 14 08:38:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 141137
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A well-defined area of low pressure located several hundred miles
west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing some disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. This system is currently embedded in a
dry environment, and development is unlikely over the next couple of
days. However, this system is forecast to move generally westward
toward warmer waters, and environmental conditions could become more
favorable for gradual development by the middle to latter part of
this week. A tropical depression could form as the system begins
moving west-northwestward and approaches or moves near the Leeward
Islands late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Oct 15 09:08:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 151151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is
forecast to move generally westward, and environmental conditions
could become more conducive for gradual development by the middle
to latter part of this week. A tropical depression could form as
the system begins moving west-northwestward and approaches or moves
near the Leeward Islands late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could develop over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portions of this week. Some
gradual development is possible thereafter if the system stays over
water while it moves slowly west-northwestward towards northern
Central America. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall
is possible across portions of Central America later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Oct 16 09:26:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 161147
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
system is forecast to move generally westward to west-northwestward,
and environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development during the latter part of this week. A tropical
depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward and
Virgin Islands late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual
development is possible if the system stays over water while it
moves slowly northwestward towards Central America. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of
Central America later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci/R. Zelinsky
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Oct 17 08:58:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 171150
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remain
disorganized. Some slow development is possible during the next few
days as the disturbance moves quickly westward to west-northwestward
around 20 mph, passing near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on
Friday, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on
Saturday. Strong upper-level winds should end the chances of
development by late in the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual
development is possible over the next couple of days before it moves
inland over Central America. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and
southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hadi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Oct 18 08:42:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 181152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
North of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (AL94):
A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms extending a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico
and the Virgin Islands. Development, if any, of this disturbance
should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to
west-northwestward at around 20 mph, continuing north of Puerto
Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then near Hispaniola and the
southeastern Bahamas this weekend. Further development is not
expected due to strong upper-level winds by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea (AL95):
Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across the
northwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low
pressure that is gradually becoming better defined to the north of
eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived
tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves
inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across
portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Oct 21 08:59:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 211138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Oscar, located over eastern Cuba.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Delgado
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Oct 22 08:40:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 221129
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Oscar, located near the central and southeastern Bahamas.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Oct 23 08:22:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Oct 27 15:05:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 271719
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. Gradual development is
possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
week or over the weekend when the system begins to drift northward
or northeastward over the southwestern and south-central Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Oct 28 09:19:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281123
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. Gradual development is
possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
week or over the weekend while the system begins to drift northward
or northeastward over the southwestern and central Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Adams
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Oct 29 08:34:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 291120
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 29 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Gradual development
is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
this week or over the weekend while the system begins to drift
northward or northeastward toward the central Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Oct 30 08:02:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 301135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Gradual development
is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over
the weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally
northward over the central or western Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Nov 1 09:27:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system
drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or
western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
western Caribbean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Greater
Antilles and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the
northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible
during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near the
Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be
absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless
of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next
several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across
Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern
Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
North Atlantic:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 400 miles
west of the western Azores is producing limited shower activity.
Some subtropical development is possible while the low moves
generally eastward during the next few days. Additional information
on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Nov 1 13:23:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011735
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system
drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or
western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
western Caribbean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Greater
Antilles and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the
northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible
during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near the
Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be
absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless
of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next
several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across
Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern
Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
North Atlantic:
A low pressure system located a few hundred miles west of the Azores
has been producing increased convection near its center over the
past few hours. Earlier satellite derived wind data depicted winds
to storm-force mainly to the south of the the center.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some additional
development and the system could become a subtropical or tropical
storm as it moves generally eastward during the next few days.
Interest in the Azores should monitor the progress of this system.
Additional information on this system is available in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Nov 2 09:34:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 021128
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean.
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure.
Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
depression is likely to form within the next few days while the
system moves generally northward to northwestward over the central
and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba.
Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Near the Greater Antilles:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and gusty
winds extending from near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola northeastward
for a few hundred miles are associated with a trough of low
pressure. Slow development of this system is possible during the
next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward near the
Greater Antilles. By early next week, this system is expected to be
absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during
the next few days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. For more
information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are
issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMAT2.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Nov 3 09:29:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 031141
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the
Azores Islands.
Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while
moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and
western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba.
Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress
of this system as tropical storm watches or warnings could be
required later today or tonight for portions of the area. An Air
Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Near the Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure a couple hundred miles east of the
southeastern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible
during the day or so while it moves westward toward the southeastern
Bahamas and eastern Cuba. This system is expected to be absorbed
into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late
Monday, ending its chances of development. Regardless of formation,
locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days
across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola,
eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Nov 4 08:36:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 041132
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean east of
the Azores Islands.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Eighteen, located over the south-central portion of
the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.
Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could develop near the northern Leeward
Islands in a few days. Some slow development of this system is
possible after that time as it moves generally westward over the
southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen are
issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Nov 5 09:33:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Rafael, located over the west-central Caribbean Sea.
Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could develop near the northern Leeward
Islands in a couple of days. Afterward, some slow development of
this system is possible during the latter part of the week while it
moves generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
-
From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Nov 11 08:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 111134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western
Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
week or this weekend while moving slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
$$
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From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Nov 12 10:03:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121123
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central and Western Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system
moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward,
the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean
Sea through the weekend and begin moving slowly, generally
northwestward, by early next week. Interests across the western
Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...Medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
$$
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From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Nov 13 08:54:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 131219 CCA
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024
Corrected to add information about High Seas Forecasts and Gale
warnings.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea
continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days
while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean
Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance
meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The
system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week.
Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should
monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development,
heavy rains are expected over Jamaica during the next day or so. For
more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly
$$
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From
Mike Powell@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Dec 1 09:45:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 302331
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Beven
$$
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