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OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed May 19 16:56:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 191724
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed May 19 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop a few
hundred miles northeast of Bermuda by tomorrow afternoon and
produce gale-force winds. The low is then forecast to move
west-southwestward over warmer waters on Friday and could become a
short-lived subtropical cyclone over the weekend to the northeast
of Bermuda. The system is expected to move toward the north and
northeast into a more hostile environment by Monday. For more
information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued
by the Ocean Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts for this system can be found under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Blake
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu May 20 16:17:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 201754
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu May 20 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical low pressure system located about 650 miles east-
northeast of Bermuda is now moving northward, and recent satellite
wind data indicate that the system has gale-force winds. The low
is expected to turn westward and west-southwestward over warmer
waters tonight and Friday, and it will likely become a subtropical
cyclone near and to the northeast of Bermuda on Friday. After that
time, the system is expected to move toward the north and northeast
into a more hostile environment by late Sunday into Monday. For more information on this developing low pressure area, please see High
Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center and
forecast products, including a tropical storm watch, issued by the
Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts for this system can be found under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Beven
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sat May 22 10:05:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 221136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat May 22 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
developed Subtropical Storm Ana, located about 180 miles northeast
of Bermuda.
Surface observations and radar data indicate that the area of low
pressure previously over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has moved
inland over southeastern Texas. Therefore, tropical cyclone
formation is not expected. However, the system could produce heavy
rainfall over portions of southeastern Texas and southwestern
Louisiana today. Given the complete saturation of soils with
ongoing river flooding along the Texas and Louisiana coastal areas,
these rains could lead to flash, urban, and additional riverine
flooding across this region. Additional information on the rainfall
and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your
local National Weather Service Forecast Office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Beven
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun May 23 08:40:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 231119
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun May 23 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ana, located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon May 24 15:26:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 241725
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Latto
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Tue May 25 19:45:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 252309
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue May 25 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed May 26 16:01:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 261716
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed May 26 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu May 27 16:56:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 271715
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu May 27 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Fri May 28 10:10:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 281116
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 28 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 1 16:46:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 011723
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 1 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 2 15:44:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 021717
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 2 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 3 15:45:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 031714
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 3 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Fri Jun 4 10:42:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 041125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 4 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Blake
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 7 15:59:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 071744
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea by Thursday or Friday. Some gradual development will
be possible thereafter as the system moves slowly northwestward
toward Central America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Tue Jun 8 15:29:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 081741
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Some
gradual development will be possible thereafter while the system
moves slowly northwestward toward Central America. Regardless of
development, this system could produce heavy rainfall across
northern Colombia and portions of Central America from Honduras
southward later this week and into the weekend. See products from
your local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 9 14:47:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 091746
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two following the
passage of a tropical wave. Significant development of this system
appears unlikely as it drifts west-northwestward or northwestward
toward Central America. Regardless of development, this system
could produce heavy rainfall across northern Colombia and portions
of Central America from Honduras southward late this week and over
the weekend. See products from your local meteorological service
for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Thu Jun 10 14:32:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 101748
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 10 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jun 19 10:33:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 191150
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently designated Tropical Storm Claudette, located inland over
southeastern Louisiana.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sat Jun 19 18:16:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 191736
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Tropical Storm Claudette, located inland over
southeastern Mississippi.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 20 07:58:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 201109
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Claudette, located inland over west-central Georgia.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Stewart/Brown
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 20 19:18:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 201701
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Claudette, located inland over east-central Georgia.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Stewart/Brown
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 21 15:48:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 211717
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Claudette, located over the western Atlantic about 150 miles east-northeast of the North Carolina Outer Banks.
A tropical wave located about 750 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms. Although shower activity has diminished some this
afternoon, recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that
the wave has become better defined since yesterday. Some additional
development of this disturbance will be possible during the next
couple of days before upper-level winds become less conducive for
further organization by Thursday. The system is expected to move
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Sun Jun 27 17:54:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 271732
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 27 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and nearby buoy and ship observations indicate
that a small low pressure system has formed about 500 miles
east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border. Surface
pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and
thunderstorms have recently become better organized. Some additional development of this system will be possible later today, and
especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer
waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form
before the system makes landfall along the southern U.S. coast. The
low is expected to move westward today, and then west-northwestward
at about 15 mph on Monday, reaching the coast of the southeastern
United States by late Monday. An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located over
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean more than 700 miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Little, if any, development of this system is
expected for the next couple of days, followed by some gradual
development by Wednesday and continuing through the end of the week
while it moves it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 20
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart/Latto
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Mon Jun 28 19:53:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 282333
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 28 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Danny, located near the southern South Carolina coast.
Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in
association with a tropical wave located over the central Atlantic
Ocean. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible later
this week and this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser
Antilles by Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Danny are issued under
WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Four are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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From
Weather Alert@618:250/1 to
All on Wed Jun 30 16:38:00 2021
ABNT20 KNHC 301735
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area
and tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands have become better organized since yesterday.
However, recent satellite wind data indicates that the disturbance
does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions
appear generally favorable for continued development, and a tropical
depression or storm is likely to form during the next day or two
while the system moves west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph.
Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress
of this system, as advisories on a potential tropical cyclone,
accompanied by tropical storm watches for portions of this area, are
likely to be issued later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical
wave located over the Lesser Antilles. This system has become less
organized since yesterday, and significant development is no longer
expected while it moves quickly westward across the Caribbean Sea.
The wave should continue to produce locally heavy rains over
portions of the Lesser Antilles through tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
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