• OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur

    From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Wed May 19 16:56:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 191724
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed May 19 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop a few
    hundred miles northeast of Bermuda by tomorrow afternoon and
    produce gale-force winds. The low is then forecast to move
    west-southwestward over warmer waters on Friday and could become a
    short-lived subtropical cyclone over the weekend to the northeast
    of Bermuda. The system is expected to move toward the north and
    northeast into a more hostile environment by Monday. For more
    information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued
    by the Ocean Prediction Center.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts for this system can be found under AWIPS header
    NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Thu May 20 16:17:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 201754
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu May 20 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    A non-tropical low pressure system located about 650 miles east-
    northeast of Bermuda is now moving northward, and recent satellite
    wind data indicate that the system has gale-force winds. The low
    is expected to turn westward and west-southwestward over warmer
    waters tonight and Friday, and it will likely become a subtropical
    cyclone near and to the northeast of Bermuda on Friday. After that
    time, the system is expected to move toward the north and northeast
    into a more hostile environment by late Sunday into Monday. For more information on this developing low pressure area, please see High
    Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center and
    forecast products, including a tropical storm watch, issued by the
    Bermuda Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts for this system can be found under AWIPS header
    NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sat May 22 10:05:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 221136
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat May 22 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
    developed Subtropical Storm Ana, located about 180 miles northeast
    of Bermuda.

    Surface observations and radar data indicate that the area of low
    pressure previously over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has moved
    inland over southeastern Texas. Therefore, tropical cyclone
    formation is not expected. However, the system could produce heavy
    rainfall over portions of southeastern Texas and southwestern
    Louisiana today. Given the complete saturation of soils with
    ongoing river flooding along the Texas and Louisiana coastal areas,
    these rains could lead to flash, urban, and additional riverine
    flooding across this region. Additional information on the rainfall
    and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your
    local National Weather Service Forecast Office.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
    header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
    Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
    header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sun May 23 08:40:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 231119
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun May 23 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Ana, located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
    header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ana are issued under WMO
    header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Mon May 24 15:26:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 241725
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon May 24 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Latto
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Tue May 25 19:45:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 252309
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue May 25 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Wed May 26 16:01:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 261716
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed May 26 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Thu May 27 16:56:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 271715
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu May 27 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Fri May 28 10:10:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 281116
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri May 28 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jun 1 16:46:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 011723
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Jun 1 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jun 2 15:44:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 021717
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Jun 2 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jun 3 15:45:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 031714
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Jun 3 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Fri Jun 4 10:42:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 041125
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 4 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Blake
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jun 7 15:59:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 071744
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern
    Caribbean Sea by Thursday or Friday. Some gradual development will
    be possible thereafter as the system moves slowly northwestward
    toward Central America.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jun 8 15:29:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 081741
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Some
    gradual development will be possible thereafter while the system
    moves slowly northwestward toward Central America. Regardless of
    development, this system could produce heavy rainfall across
    northern Colombia and portions of Central America from Honduras
    southward later this week and into the weekend. See products from
    your local meteorological service for more information.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jun 9 14:47:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 091746
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two following the
    passage of a tropical wave. Significant development of this system
    appears unlikely as it drifts west-northwestward or northwestward
    toward Central America. Regardless of development, this system
    could produce heavy rainfall across northern Colombia and portions
    of Central America from Honduras southward late this week and over
    the weekend. See products from your local meteorological service
    for more information.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jun 10 14:32:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 101748
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Jun 10 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sat Jun 19 10:33:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 191150
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
    recently designated Tropical Storm Claudette, located inland over
    southeastern Louisiana.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sat Jun 19 18:16:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 191736
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
    Tropical Storm Claudette, located inland over
    southeastern Mississippi.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 20 07:58:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 201109
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Claudette, located inland over west-central Georgia.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Stewart/Brown
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 20 19:18:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 201701
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Claudette, located inland over east-central Georgia.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Stewart/Brown
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jun 21 15:48:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 211717
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Claudette, located over the western Atlantic about 150 miles east-northeast of the North Carolina Outer Banks.

    A tropical wave located about 750 miles east-southeast of the
    Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and a few
    thunderstorms. Although shower activity has diminished some this
    afternoon, recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that
    the wave has become better defined since yesterday. Some additional
    development of this disturbance will be possible during the next
    couple of days before upper-level winds become less conducive for
    further organization by Thursday. The system is expected to move
    westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Stewart
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 27 17:54:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 271732
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Jun 27 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Satellite imagery and nearby buoy and ship observations indicate
    that a small low pressure system has formed about 500 miles
    east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border. Surface
    pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and
    thunderstorms have recently become better organized. Some additional development of this system will be possible later today, and
    especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer
    waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form
    before the system makes landfall along the southern U.S. coast. The
    low is expected to move westward today, and then west-northwestward
    at about 15 mph on Monday, reaching the coast of the southeastern
    United States by late Monday. An Air Force Reserve Unit
    reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
    Monday afternoon, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

    An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located over
    the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean more than 700 miles southwest of
    the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Little, if any, development of this system is
    expected for the next couple of days, followed by some gradual
    development by Wednesday and continuing through the end of the week
    while it moves it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 20
    mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Stewart/Latto
    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jun 28 19:53:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 282333
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Mon Jun 28 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Danny, located near the southern South Carolina coast.

    Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in
    association with a tropical wave located over the central Atlantic
    Ocean. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible later
    this week and this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser
    Antilles by Wednesday night.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Danny are issued under
    WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Four are issued under
    WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
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  • From Weather Alert@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jun 30 16:38:00 2021
    ABNT20 KNHC 301735
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area
    and tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the
    Windward Islands have become better organized since yesterday.
    However, recent satellite wind data indicates that the disturbance
    does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions
    appear generally favorable for continued development, and a tropical
    depression or storm is likely to form during the next day or two
    while the system moves west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph.
    Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress
    of this system, as advisories on a potential tropical cyclone,
    accompanied by tropical storm watches for portions of this area, are
    likely to be issued later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

    Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical
    wave located over the Lesser Antilles. This system has become less
    organized since yesterday, and significant development is no longer
    expected while it moves quickly westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    The wave should continue to produce locally heavy rains over
    portions of the Lesser Antilles through tonight.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Apr 25 08:32:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 242007
    TWOAT

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    410 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    East-Central Subtropical Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure located about 900 miles northwest of the
    Cabo Verde Islands has been producing a small but persistent area
    of showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center since this
    morning. However, the low is forecast to move southwestward at 10
    to 15 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds tonight and
    tomorrow, and additional development is not expected.

    No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for
    this system unless conditions warrant. Regularly scheduled
    Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2024, and Special
    Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the
    remainder of the off-season.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg/Brown
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri May 17 09:27:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 171137
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri May 17 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart

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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat May 18 09:05:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 181135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun May 19 08:45:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 191113
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart

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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon May 20 08:57:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 201118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue May 21 08:56:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 211118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch


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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed May 22 07:51:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 221130
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu May 23 07:56:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 231145
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Atlantic:
    A large area of cloudiness and showers over the southwestern
    Atlantic is associated with a surface trough. An area of low
    pressure is expected to form within this system a few hundred miles
    north of Hispaniola in the next day or so. Environmental conditions
    are not expected to be conducive, however, some slight tropical or
    subtropical development is possible while the low moves
    northeastward through the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci/Pasch

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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri May 24 08:27:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 241130
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms a few hundred miles to the northeast of the central
    Bahamas. An area of low pressure is expected to form within this
    system roughly halfway between Bermuda and Hispaniola later today.
    Although environmental conditions are not conducive, some slight
    subtropical or tropical development is possible over the next couple
    of days while the system moves northeastward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon May 27 11:01:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 271132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue May 28 09:52:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 281127
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed May 29 07:38:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 291124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu May 30 08:49:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 301133
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu May 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri May 31 09:30:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 311117
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 2 08:39:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 021123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Blake

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jun 3 08:46:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 031115
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Blake

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jun 4 08:23:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 041125
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Blake

    = = = = = = =
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jun 5 08:23:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 051120
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jun 6 08:39:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 061117
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Jun 7 08:22:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 071128
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Jun 8 10:18:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 081125
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 9 08:21:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 091116
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jun 9 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

    d
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jun 10 07:01:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 101119
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jun 11 07:52:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 111125
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Eastern Gulf of Mexico and Offshore Southeast U.S.:
    A trough of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is
    producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    This system is expected to move northeastward across Florida during
    the next day or so and offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast later
    this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally
    unfavorable, although some slow development is possible when the
    system is offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast. Regardless of
    development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Florida
    during the next few days. For more information, see products issued
    by the Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service
    Forecast Offices.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&

    Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
    http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
    and National Weather Service forecast
    information can be found at http://www.weather.gov ._

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jun 12 08:16:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 121146
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Florida Peninsula and Offshore Southeast U.S. (AL90):
    An elongated area of low pressure over the Florida peninsula is
    producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Although upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally
    conducive, some slow development is possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast tonight through
    late week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is forecast
    to continue across portions of the Florida peninsula during the
    next few days. For more information, see products issued by the
    Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service
    Forecast Offices.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure could form over the weekend across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
    conducive for some slow development early next week while the
    system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&

    Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
    http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
    and National Weather Service forecast information can be found at http://www.weather.gov .

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jun 13 07:59:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 131134
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
    An elongated area of low pressure offshore the coast of Florida is
    producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Despite strong upper-level winds, some gradual development is
    possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the
    southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of days. Regardless
    of development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across
    portions of the Florida peninsula through late this week. For more
    information, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center
    and local National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend or early next week.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
    or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Jun 14 09:08:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 141138
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
    Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the low
    pressure area offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast has become a
    little better organized since yesterday. However, upper-level
    winds remain strong, and the system is forecast to merge with a
    front over the western Atlantic Saturday or Sunday. Regardless of
    development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across portions
    of the Florida peninsula through Saturday. For more information,
    see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and local
    National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
    or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jun 17 08:30:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 171133
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a broad
    area of low pressure is forming over the Bay of Campeche.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional gradual
    development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely
    to form by midweek while it moves slowly westward or
    west-northwestward toward the western Gulf coast.

    Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are
    expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America, and
    these rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash
    flooding. Locally heavy rainfall is also expected to spread over
    portions of the northwestern coast of the Gulf of Mexico by the
    middle of the week. In addition, gale warnings have been issued for
    portions of the Gulf of Mexico, and more information on those
    warnings is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
    Weather Service. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf
    coasts should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force
    Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
    system later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
    An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located several hundred
    miles east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and
    an upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions
    could be conducive for some development of this system during the
    next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The
    system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeast United
    States on Thursday or Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jun 18 08:17:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 181140
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone One, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
    An area of cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles east
    of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and an
    upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could be
    conducive for some gradual development of this system during the
    next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The
    system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeastern United
    States on Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
    are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
    early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued
    under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued
    under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jun 19 08:53:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 191143
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone One, located over the western Gulf of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
    An area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
    east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough of low
    pressure. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some
    gradual development of this system during the next few days while it
    moves westward or west-northwestward. The system is forecast to
    approach the coast of the southeastern United States by the latter
    part of this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
    are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
    through early next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jun 20 08:35:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 201145
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Alberto, located inland over northeastern Mexico.

    Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
    A small area of low pressure located about 150 miles east of the
    northernmost Bahamas continues to produce disorganized shower
    and thunderstorm activity. While environmental conditions are only
    marginally conducive due to nearby dry air, further development of
    this system could lead to the development of a tropical depression
    while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph and
    approaches the northeastern coast of Florida or the Georgia coast
    early on Friday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
    scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern
    Mexico and northern Central America on Friday. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this
    system moves over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, and a tropical
    depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this
    weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Jun 21 08:20:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 211152
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
    A small area of showers and thunderstorms persists with a low
    pressure system located around 150 miles east-southeast of
    Jacksonville, Florida. An Air Force Reserve aircraft is currently
    investigating the system to determine if the low has a well-defined
    surface circulation. Environmental conditions remain marginally
    conducive for some additional development, and this system could
    become a short-lived tropical depression as the low moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to reach
    the coast of northeastern Florida or Georgia by tonight, and
    interests there should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern
    Mexico later today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche
    tonight, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern
    Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward
    or northwestward. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should
    monitor the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Jun 22 08:51:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 221144
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
    A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of
    Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    gradual development of this system as it moves slowly
    west-northwestward or northwestward, and a tropical depression could
    form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico
    Sunday night. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could
    cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and
    Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend. An Air Force
    Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
    system later today, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Near the Georgia Coast (AL92):
    A low pressure system centered inland over southeastern Georgia is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly over the
    coastal waters off of northeastern Florida and Georgia. The low
    is expected to drift slowly northwestward or northward today before
    dissipating tonight. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 23 13:11:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 231727
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
    a low pressure area centered about 20 miles southeast of La Pesca,
    Mexico. The low is expected to move inland within the next few
    hours, and the chance of tropical cyclone formation is decreasing.
    Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely to continue
    through tonight across portions of northeastern Mexico, leading to
    localized flooding.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jun 24 08:29:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 241136
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jun 25 07:34:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 251118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A westward-moving tropical wave located over the southeastern
    Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development once
    the wave reaches the western Caribbean late this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jun 26 09:18:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 261141
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
    A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing
    disorganized shower activity while it moves quickly westward at
    around 25 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive
    for some gradual development in a couple of days over the western
    Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the
    weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the
    Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible
    during the next several days while it moves generally westward
    across the central and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch/Roberts
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jun 27 08:02:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 270522
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
    A tropical wave over the west-central Caribbean Sea is producing
    widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity while
    it moves rapidly westward at around 25 mph. Environmental
    conditions could become more conducive for some gradual development
    later this week over the western Caribbean Sea or over the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and
    thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
    unusually conducive for late June across the central and western
    tropical Atlantic, and further development of this system is
    anticipated. A tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to
    form this weekend several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands
    while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Jun 28 09:52:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 281135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
    A broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea
    associated with a tropical wave continues to produce widespread
    shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not
    expected today while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph,
    and an Air Force reconnaissance mission planned for today has been
    canceled. The disturbance is then expected to move westward over the
    Yucatan Peninsula and emerge over the Bay of Campeche late Saturday
    or early Sunday, at which point some development will be possible.
    Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the
    tropical wave will affect portions of Central America and Mexico
    through the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
    A low pressure system located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the
    Windward Islands is gradually becoming better defined. Showers and thunderstorms are also showing signs of organization, and a tropical
    depression or tropical storm will likely form later today or on
    Saturday. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph
    and approach the Lesser Antilles by the end of the weekend.
    Interests there should monitor the progress of this system. For
    more information, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts
    issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave centered several hundred miles south-southwest of
    the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible
    next week while it moves generally westward across the central
    and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Zelinsky
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Jun 29 08:04:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 291125
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
    Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central tropical Atlantic
    Ocean.

    Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
    A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the Bay of
    Campeche tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally
    conducive for further development. A tropical depression could
    form before the system moves inland again early next week over
    Mexico. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor
    the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy
    rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will affect
    portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
    the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
    could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally
    westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical
    Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
    header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
    header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 30 09:15:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 301120
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
    An area of low pressure located over the southern portion
    of the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    further development, and a short-lived tropical depression could
    form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday morning.
    Interests along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor the
    progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
    associated with the area of low pressure will continue to affect
    portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week. An
    Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
    system later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
    low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves
    generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jun 30 20:11:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 302352
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, located a couple hundred miles east of the Windward Islands
    and on newly formed Tropical Depression Three, located over the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
    low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves
    generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor
    the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO
    header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under
    WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jul 1 08:00:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011147
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, nearing the Windward Islands and Tropical Depression
    Chris, located inland over eastern Mexico.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
    low pressure located over 1000 miles east-southeast of the Windward
    Islands. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for
    additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
    could form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally
    westward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western tropical
    Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
    progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Chris are issued under WMO
    header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Chris are issued under
    WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jul 1 14:27:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011720
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, located near the Windward Islands and have issued the last
    advisory on the Remnants of Chris, located inland over eastern
    Mexico.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
    low pressure located over 1000 miles east-southeast of the Windward
    Islands. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for
    additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
    could form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally
    westward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western tropical
    Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
    progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jul 2 08:31:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 021144
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the
    Windward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
    activity. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development of this system while it moves generally westward at 15
    to 20 mph across the western tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean
    Sea. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should still monitor the
    progress of this system, with heavy rainfall possible midweek.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jul 3 07:15:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 031135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, located over the central Caribbean Sea.

    East of the Windward Islands (AL96):
    Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association
    with a tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the
    Windward Islands. Development, if any, of this system should be slow
    to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at
    20 to 25 mph across the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development,
    gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible across portions
    of the Lesser Antilles today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jul 4 08:14:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 041139
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

    Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL96):
    A fast-moving tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea
    is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
    Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it
    moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph across
    the Caribbean Sea through this weekend. The system is forecast to
    cross the Yucatan Peninsula and enter the southwestern Gulf of
    Mexico by early next week where some development could occur. Gusty
    winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible across portions of the
    Greater Antilles over the next few days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Jul 5 08:35:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 051145
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Beryl, located just inland over the northeastern portion of the
    Yucatan Peninsula.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jul 10 07:19:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 101142
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
    Cyclone Beryl, located inland near the Indiana/Ohio border.

    Off the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
    A broad trough of low pressure located off the southeastern U.S.
    coast is currently producing some disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear only marginally
    favorable for some additional development of this system over the
    next couple of days before it moves inland over the southeastern
    U.S. by this weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Jul 11 09:21:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 111116
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The Weather Prediction Center has issued its final advisory on
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl, located over southeastern Canada.

    Off the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
    A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the
    southeastern U.S. coast continues to produce disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions do not appear favorable
    for much additional development of this system over the next day or
    two before it moves inland over the southeastern U.S. by this
    weekend. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible
    for portions of the Carolina coast late this week into the weekend.
    For more information about the potential for heavy rainfall, see
    products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and your local
    National Weather Service office.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Jul 12 09:36:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 121115
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Off the South Carolina Coast:
    A broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles off the
    coast of South Carolina continues to produce disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds should limit any
    development of this system before it moves inland over South
    Carolina and North Carolina later today. However, the disturbance
    could contribute to areas of heavy rainfall and possible flash
    flooding across coastal portions of the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic
    through tonight. For more information about the potential for heavy
    rainfall, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and
    your local National Weather Service office.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Jul 27 09:24:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 271144
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
    An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
    Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
    during the next several days. Development of this system is possible
    while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early to middle
    part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward near or
    over the Greater Antilles towards the latter part of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Jul 28 08:30:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 281139
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jul 28 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles:
    An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
    Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
    during the next several days. Environmental conditions are forecast
    to become conducive for some development in a day or two, and a
    tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is
    near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or
    southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Jul 29 09:31:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 291119
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles:
    An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
    Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
    during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are
    forecast to become conducive for some development thereafter, and a
    tropical depression could form later this week while the system is
    in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jul 30 09:39:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 301143
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jul 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas:
    A large tropical wave centered several hundred miles east of the
    Lesser Antilles is producing limited shower activity due to
    environmental dry air. Conditions are forecast to become a little
    more conducive for development over the warmer waters of the
    southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and a tropical depression could form
    late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater
    Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the
    Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of
    this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Jul 31 08:58:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 311137
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas:
    A large tropical wave located near the Lesser Antilles continues to
    produce a broad area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm
    activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become
    more conducive for development while the system moves generally west-northwestward over the Greater Antilles and towards the
    Bahamas. A tropical depression could form by this weekend while the
    system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, or near
    Florida. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the
    southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Landsea
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Aug 1 07:57:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico:
    A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto
    Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the adjacent waters of the
    southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of
    this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days
    while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater
    Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more
    conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater
    Antilles, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early
    next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or near the Florida
    Peninsula. Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and
    Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Aug 1 18:18:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011735
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
    A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico,
    the Southeastern Bahamas, and the adjacent waters of the
    southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of
    this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while
    it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles.
    However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive
    for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a
    tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next
    week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula.
    Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida
    should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Aug 2 07:50:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 021129
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Straits of Florida and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
    A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of poorly
    organized showers and thunderstorms over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola,
    the southeastern Bahamas, and Jamaica, as well as the adjacent
    waters of the southwestern Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea. The wave
    is expected to move near or over Cuba throughout the day and then
    emerge over the Straits of Florida tonight or Saturday.
    Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development after that time, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form this weekend over the Straits of Florida or eastern Gulf of
    Mexico near the Florida Peninsula. Tropical storm watches or
    warnings could be required for portions of Florida later today.

    Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause areas of flash
    flooding across Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas through the weekend,
    and interests in these locations should continue to monitor the
    progress of this system. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
    scheduled to investigate this system later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Aug 4 17:00:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 041734
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Debby, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

    East of the Windward Islands:
    A tropical wave located a few hundred miles to the east of the
    Windward Islands continues to produce an area of showers and
    thunderstorms, and earlier satellite wind data showed winds of 30-35
    mph just north of the wave axis. Environmental conditions appear
    generally favorable for some slow development of this system over
    the next week as the system moves quickly westward at around 20 mph,
    crossing the Windward Islands early this week and moving into the
    central and western Caribbean by the mid to latter part of this
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Aug 5 08:48:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 051128
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Aug 5 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Debby, centered inland near the Florida Big Bend.

    East of the Windward Islands:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    near the Windward Islands have decreased and become less organized
    since yesterday. Any development of this system should be slow to
    occur during the next couple of days while the system moves westward
    over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are
    expected to become more conducive for development later this week as
    the system moves across the western Caribbean Sea or the southern
    Gulf of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Aug 6 09:08:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 061106
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Debby, located near the Georgia coastline.

    Western Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    over the east-central Caribbean Sea have changed little this
    morning. Any development of this system should be slow to occur
    during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the
    central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are expected to
    become more conducive for development later this week as the system
    moves across the western Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of
    Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hogsett
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Aug 7 07:56:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 071125
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Aug 7 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Debby, located just offshore of the Georgia and South
    Carolina coastline.

    Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the
    southwestern Caribbean sea are associated with a tropical wave.
    The northern portion of this tropical wave could reach the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, however, any
    development of this system should be slow to occur.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Aug 8 09:11:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 081136
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Debby, located over South Carolina.

    Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
    An area of low pressure could form in the central or western
    tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week. Some development of this
    system is possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during
    the early to middle part of next week and moves generally
    west-northwestward toward the Greater Antilles thereafter.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Aug 9 10:02:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 091149
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
    Cyclone Debby, located inland over the Mid-Atlantic region.

    Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles to the west-southwest
    of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
    showers and thunderstorms over the tropical Atlantic. Any
    development of the wave should be slow to occur during the next
    couple of days while it moves westward across the central tropical
    Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
    conducive for development while the wave moves west-northwestward,
    and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the
    system approaches the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast
    to continue moving generally west-northwestward and could approach
    the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Aug 10 09:52:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 101135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
    Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in
    association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the
    Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Gradual development of
    this system is possible during the next couple of days while it
    moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
    Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
    conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form by the early to middle part of next week while the system
    approaches and then moves near or over the Lesser Antilles. The
    system is forecast to continue moving generally west-northwestward
    and could approach portions of the Greater Antilles by the middle to
    latter part of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Aug 11 07:40:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 111121
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
    organization in association with a broad area of low pressure
    located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
    next couple of days while the system approaches and then moves near
    or over the Leeward Islands. Interests on these islands should
    continue to monitor the progress of this system, and watches
    or warnings could be required for portions of the area as soon as
    later today. The system could approach portions of the Greater
    Antilles by the middle of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Aug 12 10:02:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 121124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Aug 12 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone Five, located a few hundred miles east of the
    Lesser Antilles.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five are issued
    under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five are issued
    under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Aug 21 08:47:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 211114
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Aug 27 09:04:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 271126
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Aug 27 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Tropical Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the
    Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental
    conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of
    this system this weekend into early next week as it moves westward
    to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Aug 28 09:26:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 281121
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Aug 28 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of
    Bermuda is producing a small area of disorganized shower and
    thunderstorm activity. Dry air and strong upper-level winds are
    expected to limit additional development of this system during the
    next day or so while the low moves northward to north-northeastward
    at around 10 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the
    Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental
    conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of
    the system this weekend into early next week while it moves westward
    to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Aug 29 10:01:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 291133
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave over the central Tropical Atlantic Ocean is
    producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
    and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it
    moves westward at 10 to 15 mph and approaches the Lesser Antilles.
    The system is then forecast to move westward to west-northwestward
    across portions of the eastern Caribbean Sea during the middle part
    of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Aug 30 10:06:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 301148
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the
    central tropical Atlantic remain disorganized. Gradual development
    of this system is possible during the next few days, and a tropical
    depression could form some time next week while it moves westward,
    reaching the Lesser Antilles on Monday and continuing across the
    Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    Another tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo
    Verde Islands is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm
    activity. Some slow development of this system is possible through
    late next week while it moves slowly to the west-northwest over the
    eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Aug 31 09:45:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 311154
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing
    some disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore
    the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger
    near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development
    is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development,
    heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of
    coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few
    days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles continues to produce some disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and
    reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday. Thereafter, environmental
    conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
    and a tropical depression could form while it continues moving
    westward across the Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part
    of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde
    Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves
    slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic through late next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Mahoney
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Sep 1 09:55:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011143
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast continues to
    produce some shower and thunderstorm activity along and just
    offshore of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is
    expected to linger near the coast for the next several days, and
    some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. Regardless
    of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across
    portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the
    next few days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
    Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
    hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed little in
    organization since yesterday. Some slow development is possible as
    the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on
    Monday. The wave is expected to move across the central and western
    Caribbean Sea later this week, where conditions are forecast to
    become more conducive for some development, and a tropical
    depression could form during that time. Regardless of development,
    this system could result in some gusty winds and locally heavy
    rainfall over portions of the Lesser Antilles on Monday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
    A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on
    Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly
    westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
    Ocean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Sep 2 08:55:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 021136
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad and weak area of low pressure just offshore of the middle
    Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower activity
    along portions of the coast of Texas and over the adjacent waters of
    the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to meander
    for another day or so, and some slow development is possible if it
    remains offshore. On Tuesday, the low is forecast to move inland,
    and further development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains
    could cause some flash flooding across portions of the Texas coast
    during the next couple of days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
    A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty
    winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and over
    the adjacent eastern Caribbean waters. Environmental conditions are
    forecast to become more conducive for development when the system
    reaches the western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico
    late this week and over the weekend, and a tropical depression could
    form during that time.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
    A tropical wave just offshore of the west coast of Africa is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for
    development, and a tropical depression could form in a few days
    while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or
    northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system
    could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of
    the Cabo Verde Islands in a day or two.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Sep 3 08:37:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 031153
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Caribbean Sea:
    A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
    over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea.
    This system is expected to move westward, and a tropical depression
    could form when it reaches the western Caribbean Sea and the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week or over the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
    A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
    are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and
    a tropical depression could form later this week while the
    disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over
    the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce
    locally heavy rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo
    Verde Islands in a day or two.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
    Another tropical wave located about midway between the west coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the
    next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward. By
    the end of the week, however, environmental conditions are expected
    to become unfavorable for additional development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/R. Zelinsky
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Sep 4 09:48:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 041151
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is
    producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
    near southeastern Cuba, Jamaica, and across portions of the central
    Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible late this week when the
    wave slows down over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next
    week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
    Another tropical wave located about 800 miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
    Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
    over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at
    10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become
    unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
    A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also
    producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of
    this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
    slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical
    Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy rains
    across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Sep 5 08:46:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 051152
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northwest Gulf of Mexico:
    A trough of low pressure is producing widespread disorganized
    showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico,
    including near the coasts of Louisiana and Texas. Upper-level
    winds are expected to become less conducive for development by
    Friday and Saturday as a frontal boundary approaches the system.
    Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected
    across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or
    so.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Northwestern Atlantic:
    A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east
    of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms to the northeast and east of its center. This system
    could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next couple
    of days while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining
    offshore of the northeastern United States. Once the low moves
    over cooler waters by late Saturday, further subtropical development
    is not expected. Additional information on this system, including
    gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
    National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
    development of this system is possible during the next several days
    while it drifts northwestward or northward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased slightly in
    association with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the
    western Caribbean Sea. Significant development appears unlikely
    before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early
    Friday. Some development is possible late in the weekend into early
    next week after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of
    Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic:
    Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the
    Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
    activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development
    of this system during the next few days while it moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week,
    environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow
    development while the system moves west-northwestward over the
    southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
    at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Sep 6 08:11:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 061153
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL90):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system and
    weak frontal boundary over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remain
    disorganized. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable
    for significant development of this system while it meanders over
    the northwestern Gulf and eventually merges with another approaching
    frontal system later today or on Saturday. Although tropical
    cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to
    continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next
    day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in
    products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
    Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Northwestern Atlantic (AL99):
    Satellite images indicate that a gale-force low pressure system
    located several hundred miles east of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast
    is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are
    increasingly taking on a non-tropical structure. The low is
    forecast to move north-northeastward at 15 to 20 mph offshore the
    northeastern United States, reaching colder waters by this evening
    and overnight, and its opportunity to acquire subtropical
    characteristics appears to be decreasing. Additional information
    on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
    A tropical wave located near the coast of Belize and the Yucatan
    Peninsula of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is forecast to move across Central
    America and southeastern Mexico today and tonight, and some slow
    development is possible over the weekend after the system emerges
    over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical
    Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity.
    Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the disturbance
    meanders through the early part of next week and then begins to
    move west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during
    the middle to latter part of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
    at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Sep 8 08:14:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 081248 CCA
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

    Corrected category for the 48 hour probability for AL92

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
    Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association
    with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf
    of Mexico. This system is forecast to drift slowly northwestward
    during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are
    expected to become conducive for additional development. A tropical
    depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the
    system moves generally northwestward and then northward near or
    along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of the
    week. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf Coast should
    closely monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be
    required for portions of the western Gulf coast later today or
    tonight. An Air-Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is also
    scheduled to investigate the system later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low
    pressure over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show some
    signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
    could form while the system meanders over the central tropical
    Atlantic through Monday and then begins to move generally westward
    at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
    the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized
    showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very
    little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts
    with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of
    Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected
    to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
    tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the
    week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Sep 8 12:58:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 081754
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
    An elongated area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf
    of Mexico continues to produce a large area of showers and
    thunderstorms. Satellite-derived winds show this system does not yet
    have a well-defined center, but is producing winds of 40 to 45 mph
    on its western side. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    additional development and a tropical storm is expected to form
    during the next day or so. The system is forecast to move generally northwestward and then northward near or along the Gulf coast of
    Mexico, upper Texas, and Louisiana coasts with additional
    strengthening possible by the middle of this week.

    Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico, upper Texas, and Louisiana
    coasts should closely monitor the progress of this system. Tropical
    Storm Watches could be required for portions of the coast of
    northeastern Mexico and southern Texas later this afternoon or
    tonight, with additional watches possible along the coast of Texas
    and Louisiana later tonight or Monday. An Air-Force Reserve
    Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently in route to to investigate
    the system this afternoon. Additional information on this system,
    including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued
    by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
    over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show signs of
    organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
    additional development of this system over the next couple of days,
    and a tropical depression is now likely to form during that time
    while the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic. By
    the middle of this week the system should begin moving more westward
    at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
    the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized
    showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very
    little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts
    with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of
    Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected
    to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
    tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the
    week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Sep 9 09:12:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 091107
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone Six, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
    conditions are marginally conducive for development during the next
    few days, and a tropical depression could form while the system
    meanders over the central tropical Atlantic. By the middle part of
    the week, the system is forecast to move westward-northwestward at
    around 10 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
    west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area
    of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. In a couple of days,
    this trough is expected to interact with an approaching tropical
    wave. Afterward, Environmental conditions appear favorable for
    gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
    form during the middle to latter part of this week while the system
    moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued
    under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued
    under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Sep 10 08:36:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 101131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Francine, located in the Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles
    offshore of northeastern Mexico.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical
    Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
    thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only
    marginally conducive for some slight development during the next
    couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during
    that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the
    central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
    the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to interact and merge with a
    strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and
    the Cabo Verde Islands over the next couple of days. Thereafter,
    Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of
    this combined system, and a tropical depression will likely form
    during the latter part of this week while the system moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Sep 11 12:52:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 111742
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Francine, located just south of Louisiana, and on newly formed
    Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    An area of low pressure located over the central tropical
    Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
    thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally
    conducive for some slight development during the next day or two
    while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the
    central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an
    area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its
    chances for development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
    A small but well-defined area of low pressure located several
    hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing
    limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The proximity of dry
    air near the system is expected to limit additional development
    over the next couple of days before environmental conditions
    become even less conducive by this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Offshore the Southeastern U.S. over the Western Atlantic:
    In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
    a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the
    southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or
    tropical development is possible during the early part of next week
    while the system drifts to the north or northwest.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    &&

    Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued
    under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued
    under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.


    $$
    Forecaster Bann/Blake
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Sep 11 20:34:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 112349
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Francine, located over southern Louisiana and on Tropical
    Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic
    continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or so while the system moves
    westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The
    disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level
    winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
    A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
    east of the Leeward Islands is producing a limited area of
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air
    near the system is expected to limit additional development over the
    next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less
    conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
    In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
    a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
    U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
    is possible during the early part of next week while the system
    drifts to the north or northwest.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Sep 12 08:44:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 121152
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Francine, located inland over south-central Mississippi,
    and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic
    Ocean.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of
    the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
    activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves
    westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
    Showers and thunderstorms have become a bit more concentrated in
    association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred
    miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry
    air near the system is expected to limit additional development
    over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected
    to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system
    moves slowly west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
    In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
    a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
    U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
    is possible during the early part of next week while the system
    drifts to the north or northwest.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Sep 13 08:24:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 131135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Seven, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
    The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
    Cyclone Francine, located inland over northeastern Arkansas.

    Northern Leeward Islands (AL94):
    Surface observations indicate a small area of low pressure is
    located over the northern Leeward Islands. The system continues to
    produce showers and thunderstorms this morning, but they have not
    become any better organized. Environmental conditions, including the
    proximity of dry air, do not favor development of this system while
    it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Regardless of
    development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible
    across the northern Leeward Islands today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
    A non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a frontal
    boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline
    this weekend. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
    is possible during the early part of next week while the system
    moves generally northwestward toward the coast.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Sep 14 08:51:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 141119
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

    Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
    A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend
    along a frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
    U.S. coastline. The system could gradually acquire subtropical or
    tropical characteristics thereafter over the warm waters of the Gulf
    Stream, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm could form
    early next week while the system moves generally northwestward
    toward the coast. Additional information on this system can be found
    in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
    Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly/Mahoney
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Sep 15 08:52:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 151137
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

    Offshore the Southeastern U.S. Coast (AL95):
    A non-tropical low pressure area is located along a frontal
    boundary a couple of hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast,
    and is producing winds to gale force north of its center. The low
    is forecast to move northwestward or northward over the warm waters
    of the Gulf Stream toward the coasts of North Carolina and South
    Carolina, and it could become a subtropical or tropical storm during
    the next day or two if the associated front dissipates and showers
    and thunderstorms become sufficiently organized.

    Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, the low is
    likely to bring gusty winds, heavy rains with the potential for
    flash flooding, coastal flooding, and dangerous beach conditions to
    portions of the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coast during the
    next couple of days, and interests in these areas should monitor
    the system's progress. Additional information can be found in
    products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
    Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
    found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Sep 16 08:36:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 161148
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic
    Ocean.

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone Eight, located off the coast of the Carolinas.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
    under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
    under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Sep 18 09:19:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 181131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
    Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized over the central
    tropical Atlantic in association with the remnants of Gordon. This
    system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its
    northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the
    next couple of days. Environmental conditions could become more
    conducive for development later this week, and a tropical depression
    or storm could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly
    northward over the central subtropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early
    next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some
    slow development of this system is possible through the middle
    of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest
    over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of
    Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Sep 19 08:08:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 191140
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
    An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the
    central subtropical Atlantic is associated with the remnants of
    Gordon. Some development of this system is possible while it
    moves generally northward over the next several days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure located about 750 miles southeast of
    Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but some
    development of this system is possible while it meanders over the
    open waters of the central or western Subtropical Atlantic though
    early next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the
    western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual
    development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
    could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over
    the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico
    through the middle part of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Sep 20 09:55:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 201142
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
    An area of low pressure, associated with the remnants of Gordon, is
    producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than a
    thousand miles southwest of the Azores. Due to strong upper-level
    winds, any additional development of this system is expected to be
    slow to occur while it meanders over the central subtropical
    Atlantic during the next couple of days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
    Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
    about 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands has
    changed little in organization over the past several hours.
    Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some
    development of this system during the next couple of days while it
    drifts northwestward at about 5 mph over the central or western
    subtropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure could form by the early to middle
    part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter,
    gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical
    depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or
    northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern
    Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Sep 21 09:53:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 211152
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
    Strong upper-level winds continue to keep showers and thunderstorms
    displaced away from the center of an area of low pressure (the
    remnants of Gordon) located over one thousand miles southwest of the
    Azores. Significant development of this system is not expected
    while it moves slowly northwestward over the central subtropical
    Atlantic during the next couple of days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
    An area of low pressure located about 700 miles northeast of the
    northern Leeward Islands is producing some disorganized shower and
    thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions do not appear
    conducive for significant development of this system during the next
    couple of days while it drifts northwestward and then northward at
    about 5 mph over the central or western subtropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure is likely to form by the early to
    middle part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
    the adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual
    development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
    could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest
    over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and across the Gulf of
    Mexico through the end of next week. Regardless of development,
    this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of
    Central America during the next several days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of
    Africa on Sunday or Monday. Gradual development of this system is
    possible next week as it moves west-northwestward over the eastern
    and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Sep 22 08:37:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 221151
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
    Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
    pressure located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda has not
    become better organized since yesterday. Although the low remains
    embedded in a very dry environment, a short-lived tropical
    depression cannot be ruled out if showers and thunderstorms become
    better organized while the system moves generally northward at 5 to
    10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the western
    Caribbean Sea and portions of Central America are associated with a
    very broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
    favorable for gradual development of this system during the next
    several days. A tropical depression is likely to form while the
    system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea
    and Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week. Regardless of
    development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over
    portions of Central America during the next several days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is expected to move
    westward during the next several days. Environmental conditions
    could support some gradual development of this system, and a
    tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of
    the week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and
    central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Sep 23 08:58:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 231132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
    Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
    northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear
    favorable for further development of this system. A tropical
    depression or storm is likely to form within the next day or two as
    the system moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
    into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, where additional development
    is expected.

    Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy
    rains over portions of Central America during the next several days.
    Interests in the northwestern Caribbean, the Yucatan Peninsula of
    Mexico, and western Cuba should closely monitor the progress of this
    system, as watches or warnings will likely be required later
    this morning for portions of these areas. Later this week, the
    system is forecast to move generally northward across the eastern
    Gulf of Mexico, and interests along the northern and northeastern
    Gulf Coast should also closely monitor the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located between western Africa and the Cabo Verde
    Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual
    development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
    form during the middle to latter part of this week while it moves
    westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Sep 24 08:22:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 241153
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone Nine, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
    organization in association with a tropical wave located near the
    Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
    gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
    under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
    under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Sep 25 09:32:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 251152
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Helene, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
    A broad low pressure system associated with a tropical wave located
    west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized
    shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear
    favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward
    to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical
    Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL99):
    A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located several
    hundred miles to the northeast of Bermuda. The system is currently
    producing winds up to storm force, and environmental conditions
    could support some subtropical or tropical development over the next
    several days as the system moves generally eastward, remaining over
    the open waters of central Subtropical Atlantic. Additional
    information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found
    in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Sep 26 08:47:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 261124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Helene, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and on Tropical
    Storm Isaac, located over the central Subtropical Atlantic Ocean.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
    Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
    pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde
    Islands has become more organized during the past several hours.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development
    of this system, and a tropical depression could form as soon as
    later today while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward
    near 15 mph today and tomorrow. The system is then forecast to
    slow down and turn northward late Friday and Saturday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac are issued under WMO
    header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaac are issued under WMO
    header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Sep 27 07:59:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 271146
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Helene, located inland over northeast Georgia and on recently
    upgraded Hurricane Isaac, located over the central Subtropical
    Atlantic Ocean.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
    located midway in between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser
    Antilles continues to become better organized. This disturbance is
    already producing gale-force winds. Environmental conditions are
    conducive for further development and a tropical depression or storm
    could form today while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is then forecast to
    slow down and turn north-northwestward by this weekend. Additional
    information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Western Caribbean:
    An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea by
    the middle of next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be
    conducive for slow development thereafter while the system moves
    generally northwestward, potentially entering the Gulf of Mexico by
    the end of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure could form over the eastern tropical
    Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. Environmental
    conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development
    thereafter while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to
    15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly/Rosado
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Sep 28 09:03:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 281138
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Sep 28 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Isaac, located several hundred miles east of the Azores, and on
    Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central tropical Atlantic
    Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Helene, located inland over the Ohio River
    Valley.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A broad and elongated area of low pressure, associated with a
    tropical wave, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
    near and to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
    and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle
    part of next week while the system moves toward the west and then
    northwest across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
    An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea in
    a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
    for additional development thereafter while the system moves
    generally northwestward, and a tropical depression could form during
    the middle to latter part of next week as the system enters the Gulf
    of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
    header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
    header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Konarik
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Sep 29 09:55:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 291153
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 29 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Isaac, located several hundred miles northwest of the Azores, and
    on Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low
    pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands have become better organized since yesterday.
    Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
    early or middle part of this week while the system initially moves
    westward and then northwestward across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea
    is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development, and a
    tropical depression could form around the middle part of this week
    while the disturbance meanders towards the west-northwest. This
    system is then expected to move northwestward into the Gulf of
    Mexico during the latter portion of this week, and interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should
    monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Eastern Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located near the coast of western Africa is
    currently producing limited shower activity. Some gradual
    development of this system is possible during the next several days
    while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the
    eastern Atlantic Ocean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake/Mahoney
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Sep 30 09:20:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 301153
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Isaac, located several hundred miles north of the Azores, on
    Tropical Depression Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean,
    and on Tropical Depression Twelve, located over the eastern
    tropical Atlantic Ocean.

    Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
    A large and disorganized area of low pressure located over the
    western and southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions could become
    conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could
    form in a few days while the system is over the southern Gulf of
    Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea. While interests in the
    northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should
    continue to monitor the progress of this system, the timetable for
    potential development has shifted later toward late week or this
    weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a
    tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde
    Islands. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive
    for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
    in a few days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern
    tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under
    WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twelve are issued under
    WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Oct 1 09:32:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011148
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the southwestern
    Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure.
    Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of
    this system, and a tropical depression could form towards the end of
    this week or this weekend while it moves generally northwestward
    over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the Gulf of Mexico.
    Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the
    progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs organization in
    association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred
    miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
    and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next
    couple of days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern
    tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Mora
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Oct 2 08:10:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 021134
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
    A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the southwestern
    Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental
    conditions could support some gradual development of this system,
    and a tropical depression could form over the weekend as the broader disturbance moves fully into the Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the
    U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this
    system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
    association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions
    appear conducive for further development of this system, and a
    tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so
    while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Oct 3 09:29:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 031135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Oct 3 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
    Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic
    Ocean.

    Gulf of Mexico:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Gulf of
    Mexico are associated with a surface trough. A broad area of low
    pressure is likely to develop over the Gulf of Mexico late this
    weekend or early next week, but subsequent tropical or subtropical
    development could be limited by the system's potential interaction
    with a frontal boundary. Regardless of development, locally heavy
    rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next few days
    and over portions of the Florida Peninsula next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC
    and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie
    are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
    MIATCMAT3.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Oct 4 09:43:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 041130
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
    Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic
    Ocean.

    Gulf of Mexico:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the western Gulf
    of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. A broad area
    of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern or
    south-central Gulf of Mexico this weekend, and thereafter some
    gradual development is possible while the low moves slowly eastward
    or northeastward. A tropical or subtropical depression or storm
    could form during the early to middle part of next week if the low
    remains separate from a frontal boundary that is forecast to extend
    across the Gulf of Mexico next week. Regardless of tropical or
    subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over
    portions of Mexico during the next few days and over portions of the
    Florida Peninsula late this weekend into next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Oct 5 07:45:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 051122
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
    Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic
    Ocean.

    Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
    pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually
    becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected,
    and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or
    on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf
    of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move
    faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf
    of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on
    the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida
    Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of
    this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could
    occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over
    much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on
    Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible
    thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the
    eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or
    over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests
    there should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Oct 6 10:01:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 061149
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, on
    Hurricane Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean,
    and on Tropical Storm Milton, located over the southwestern Gulf of
    Mexico.

    Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in
    a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter
    while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern
    tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the
    Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there
    should monitor its progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO
    header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO
    header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Oct 7 09:54:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 071136
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Kirk, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane
    Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
    Hurricane Milton, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in
    a few days. Afterward, environmental conditions appear marginally
    favorable for some slow development of this system while it moves
    westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
    The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands
    on Thursday or early Friday, and interests there should monitor its
    progress.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Oct 8 07:45:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 081134
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and
    on Hurricane Milton, located over the southern Gulf of Mexico.

    Southwestern Atlantic:
    A broad area of low pressure is near the northern Bahamas with
    disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some development of
    this system is possible during the next day or so while the low
    moves northeastward to east-northeastward around 15 mph. Upper-
    level winds are likely to increase later in the week, which should
    limit further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in
    a couple of days. Afterward, environmental conditions appear only
    marginally favorable for some limited development of this system
    while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern
    tropical Atlantic, moving near the Cabo Verde Islands on Thursday or
    early Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Oct 9 08:03:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 091140
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
    Hurricane Milton, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

    Southwestern Atlantic (AL93):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a gale-force non-tropical
    low pressure system located about 375 miles west-southwest of
    Bermuda have become less organized during the last several hours.
    Although environmental conditions are becoming less favorable for
    development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could
    still form today or this evening while the low moves northeastward
    to east-northeastward at around 15 mph. Upper-level winds are
    forecast to become too strong for further development later tonight.
    Additional information on this system, including gale warnings,
    can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa
    tonight or early Thursday. Afterward, environmental conditions
    appear only marginally favorable for some limited development of
    this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward across
    the eastern tropical Atlantic and through the Cabo Verde Islands on
    Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
    at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Oct 10 08:08:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 101110
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
    Hurricane Milton, located off the east coast of central Florida.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave that has now emerged off of the west coast of Africa
    continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions appear marginal for limited development of
    this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the
    eastern tropical Atlantic and the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday. By
    Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable,
    and further development is unlikely after that time. Regardless of development, localized areas of heavy rain are possible across
    portions of the Cabo Verde Islands late Thursday through Friday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Oct 12 08:58:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 121131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
    The circulation associated with an area of low pressure located a
    couple of hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands appears to
    have become slightly better defined this morning. However, the
    associated shower and thunderstorm activity is only marginally
    well-organized, and environmental conditions are expected to become
    less conducive for further development later today. A short-lived
    tropical depression could still form at any time today while the
    system moves generally westward. After that time, the system is
    forecast to continue moving westward across the central tropical
    Atlantic, but further development is not anticipated through at
    least the middle of next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Oct 13 08:57:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 131151
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
    Showers and thunderstorms have diminished again in associated with
    an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo
    Verde Islands. While the system is currently embedded in an
    environment that is not favorable for development over the next
    couple of days, the system is forecast to move generally westward to west-southwestward across the tropical Atlantic, where environmental
    conditions could become more favorable for gradual development in
    the central Tropical Atlantic by the mid to latter part of this
    week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Oct 14 08:38:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 141137
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
    A well-defined area of low pressure located several hundred miles
    west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing some disorganized
    showers and thunderstorms. This system is currently embedded in a
    dry environment, and development is unlikely over the next couple of
    days. However, this system is forecast to move generally westward
    toward warmer waters, and environmental conditions could become more
    favorable for gradual development by the middle to latter part of
    this week. A tropical depression could form as the system begins
    moving west-northwestward and approaches or moves near the Leeward
    Islands late this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Oct 15 09:08:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 151151
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
    An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic
    is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is
    forecast to move generally westward, and environmental conditions
    could become more conducive for gradual development by the middle
    to latter part of this week. A tropical depression could form as
    the system begins moving west-northwestward and approaches or moves
    near the Leeward Islands late this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    Western Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure could develop over the southwestern
    Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portions of this week. Some
    gradual development is possible thereafter if the system stays over
    water while it moves slowly west-northwestward towards northern
    Central America. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall
    is possible across portions of Central America later this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Oct 16 09:26:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 161147
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
    A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical
    Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
    system is forecast to move generally westward to west-northwestward,
    and environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development during the latter part of this week. A tropical
    depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward and
    Virgin Islands late this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Western Caribbean Sea:
    Showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are
    associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual
    development is possible if the system stays over water while it
    moves slowly northwestward towards Central America. Regardless of
    development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of
    Central America later this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci/R. Zelinsky
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Thu Oct 17 08:58:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 171150
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
    located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remain
    disorganized. Some slow development is possible during the next few
    days as the disturbance moves quickly westward to west-northwestward
    around 20 mph, passing near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on
    Friday, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on
    Saturday. Strong upper-level winds should end the chances of
    development by late in the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    Western Caribbean Sea:
    Showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea are
    associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual
    development is possible over the next couple of days before it moves
    inland over Central America. Regardless of development, locally
    heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and
    southern Mexico through the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Hadi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Oct 18 08:42:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 181152
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    North of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (AL94):
    A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms extending a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico
    and the Virgin Islands. Development, if any, of this disturbance
    should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to
    west-northwestward at around 20 mph, continuing north of Puerto
    Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then near Hispaniola and the
    southeastern Bahamas this weekend. Further development is not
    expected due to strong upper-level winds by early next week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Western Caribbean Sea (AL95):
    Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across the
    northwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low
    pressure that is gradually becoming better defined to the north of
    eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
    additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived
    tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves
    inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.
    Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across
    portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Oct 21 08:59:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 211138
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Oscar, located over eastern Cuba.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Delgado
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Oct 22 08:40:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 221129
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Oscar, located near the central and southeastern Bahamas.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Oct 23 08:22:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 231132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Oct 27 15:05:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 271719
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Oct 27 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. Gradual development is
    possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
    week or over the weekend when the system begins to drift northward
    or northeastward over the southwestern and south-central Caribbean
    Sea.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Oct 28 09:19:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 281123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Oct 28 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. Gradual development is
    possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
    week or over the weekend while the system begins to drift northward
    or northeastward over the southwestern and central Caribbean Sea.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Adams
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Oct 29 08:34:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 291120
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Oct 29 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Gradual development
    is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
    this week or over the weekend while the system begins to drift
    northward or northeastward toward the central Caribbean Sea.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Oct 30 08:02:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 301135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Oct 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. Gradual development
    is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over
    the weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally
    northward over the central or western Caribbean Sea.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Nov 1 09:27:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011136
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual
    development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system
    drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or
    western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
    rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
    western Caribbean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
    A trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing a
    large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Greater
    Antilles and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the
    northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible
    during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near the
    Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be
    absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless
    of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next
    several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across
    Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern
    Bahamas.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    North Atlantic:
    A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 400 miles
    west of the western Azores is producing limited shower activity.
    Some subtropical development is possible while the low moves
    generally eastward during the next few days. Additional information
    on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
    National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Fri Nov 1 13:23:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011735
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
    southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual
    development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is
    likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system
    drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or
    western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
    rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
    western Caribbean.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
    A trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing a
    large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Greater
    Antilles and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the
    northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible
    during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near the
    Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be
    absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless
    of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next
    several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across
    Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern
    Bahamas.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    North Atlantic:
    A low pressure system located a few hundred miles west of the Azores
    has been producing increased convection near its center over the
    past few hours. Earlier satellite derived wind data depicted winds
    to storm-force mainly to the south of the the center.
    Environmental conditions appear favorable for some additional
    development and the system could become a subtropical or tropical
    storm as it moves generally eastward during the next few days.
    Interest in the Azores should monitor the progress of this system.
    Additional information on this system is available in High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Nov 2 09:34:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 021128
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
    Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic
    Ocean.

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern
    Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure.
    Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form within the next few days while the
    system moves generally northward to northwestward over the central
    and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
    rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
    western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba.
    Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress
    of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    Near the Greater Antilles:
    A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and gusty
    winds extending from near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola northeastward
    for a few hundred miles are associated with a trough of low
    pressure. Slow development of this system is possible during the
    next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward near the
    Greater Antilles. By early next week, this system is expected to be
    absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea.
    Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during
    the next few days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico,
    Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. For more
    information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    &&

    Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued
    under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are
    issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header
    MIATCMAT2.

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Nov 3 09:29:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 031141
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
    Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the
    Azores Islands.

    Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
    a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
    Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while
    moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and
    western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
    rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
    western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba.
    Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress
    of this system as tropical storm watches or warnings could be
    required later today or tonight for portions of the area. An Air
    Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
    system later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Near the Greater Antilles:
    A trough of low pressure a couple hundred miles east of the
    southeastern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible
    during the day or so while it moves westward toward the southeastern
    Bahamas and eastern Cuba. This system is expected to be absorbed
    into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late
    Monday, ending its chances of development. Regardless of formation,
    locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days
    across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola,
    eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

    $$
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Nov 4 08:36:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 041132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Mon Nov 4 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean east of
    the Azores Islands.

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
    Tropical Cyclone Eighteen, located over the south-central portion of
    the Caribbean Sea.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

    Southwestern Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure could develop near the northern Leeward
    Islands in a few days. Some slow development of this system is
    possible after that time as it moves generally westward over the
    southwestern Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen are issued
    under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen are
    issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
    MIATCMAT3.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

    $$
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Nov 5 09:33:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 051151
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Rafael, located over the west-central Caribbean Sea.

    Southwestern Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure could develop near the northern Leeward
    Islands in a couple of days. Afterward, some slow development of
    this system is possible during the latter part of the week while it
    moves generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci

    $$
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Mon Nov 11 08:52:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 111134
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Western Caribbean Sea:
    A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western
    Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
    system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
    week or this weekend while moving slowly westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart

    $$
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1)
  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Nov 12 10:03:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 121123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Tue Nov 12 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central and Western Caribbean Sea:
    A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing an area
    of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
    conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system
    moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward,
    the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean
    Sea through the weekend and begin moving slowly, generally
    northwestward, by early next week. Interests across the western
    Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...Medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


    $$
    Forecaster Roberts

    $$
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Nov 13 08:54:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 131219 CCA
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

    Corrected to add information about High Seas Forecasts and Gale
    warnings.

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
    A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea
    continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
    tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days
    while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean
    Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance
    meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The
    system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week.
    Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should
    monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development,
    heavy rains are expected over Jamaica during the next day or so. For
    more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High
    Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force
    Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
    later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly

    $$
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  • From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sun Dec 1 09:45:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 302331
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
    the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
    Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
    off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
    conditions warrant.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven


    $$
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