• Severe Threat Mid-South

    From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Wed Apr 2 18:45:00 2025
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...155-190 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

    ACUS11 KWNS 022312
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 022312
    TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-030045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0363
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0612 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

    Areas affected...Portions of the Mid-South

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 98...

    Valid 022312Z - 030045Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 98 continues.

    SUMMARY...Numerous discrete supercells are intensifying in a very
    favorable environment for strong to intense tornadoes across the
    Mid-South.

    DISCUSSION...Numerous discrete right-moving supercells are
    intensifying across the open warm sector in the Mid-South as of 23Z.
    The NQA VWP depicts very large, clockwise-curved hodographs with
    ample streamwise vorticity for these storms (around 330 m2/s2 0-500m
    SRH). Given a moist/unstable boundary layer, ample low-level shear,
    and the well-established discrete supercells, several strong to
    intense tornadoes are possible through this corridor over the next
    couple hours.

    ..Weinman.. 04/02/2025

    ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

    LAT...LON 34009085 34259159 34699169 35159159 36289066 36499019
    36468975 36348926 36078903 35798902 34179016 34009085

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...155-190 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

    $$
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