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  • Heavy Rain from TD Beryl

    From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Tue Jul 9 08:21:00 2024
    791
    WTNT32 KWNH 090845
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Beryl Advisory Number 43
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024
    400 AM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024

    ...BERYL WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING FROM
    THE LOWER AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES TODAY INTO
    WEDNESDAY...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...33.9N 93.7W
    ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM NE OF TYLER TEXAS
    ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM N OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of...
    * Eastern Oklahoma
    * Northern Arkansas
    * Central and Southern Missouri
    * Illinois
    * Northern Indiana
    * Southern Michigan


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Beryl
    was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 93.7 West. The
    depression is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h) and
    this motion is generally expected to continue today into tonight.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
    and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

    TORNADOES: A tornado is possible through the early morning across
    parts of the Mid-South. A few tornadoes are possible primarily
    during the midday to early evening hours across southeast Missouri,
    northern Tennessee, Kentucky, southern Illinois, southern and
    central Indiana, and into southwest and central Ohio.

    RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher
    amounts, is expected across portions of the lower and mid
    Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes today into Wednesday and
    over the Northeast Wednesday into Wednesday night.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Depression Beryl, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

    For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
    this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the
    WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

    SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to gradually
    decrease during the next day or so. Please consult products from
    your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Chenard/Dolan

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