ACUS11 KWNS 182058
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182058
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-182200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1653
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern
Virginia...southeast Maryland

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 496...

Valid 182058Z - 182200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 496
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to pose a risk for
damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail through early evening.

DISCUSSION...Several clusters of severe thunderstorms continue along
a confluence zone from central VA south across western NC at 2045z,
and these storms will continue to move east across the watch area
through early evening. With strong instability and modest westerly
deep-layer shear remaining in place, storms will continue to pose a
severe risk over the next few hours. Damaging gusts remain the
primary severe hazard, however isolated instances of large hail
remain possible with the most intense storms.

..Bunting.. 07/18/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_TfYv7STcOcPwbvFSAsUg44FYqDUuuSz9akH8rtpeUdwbA7JUZZvHITuBBR1TZ0935QVYDAYBCOhLh5-x7ln7n03OtM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON 39117768 38587690 38227642 38357526 38237487 37617521
36787566 36327580 36347672 35797911 35908023 36238043
36698030 37427971 37697940 39157800 39117768

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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