• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1003

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 6 19:07:29 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 061907
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 061906=20
    OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-062100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1003
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0206 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2026

    Areas affected...portions of eastern Illinois...northern
    Indiana...eastern Ohio

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 061906Z - 062100Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms possible this afternoon with
    potential for instances of large hail and strong to severe winds.

    DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed across northern Indiana/eastern Illinois this afternoon in the wake of morning
    convection south of the cold front near remnant outflow. While
    stronger flow aloft is shifting eastward, the air mass remains
    favorably unstable, with MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg. In addition,
    shear profiles are sufficient to support potential for loosely
    organized multi-cells and transient supercell structures capable of
    severe hail.

    ..Thornton/Thompson.. 06/06/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-9Q5ajDpro-DtTS7F-0tOr9mfFSPF9eJ3QcxeKxf7bqd-nBeNoXzolDcMLf40G2f9JmiU48Tp= XPcJ0W4NVp9TVkd1r4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...

    LAT...LON 40738813 41208796 41558745 41608617 41688521 41348447
    40508431 40078464 39778646 39958773 40088804 40738813=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)