• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0996

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 6 04:34:25 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 060434
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 060433=20
    IAZ000-MOZ000-060600-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0996
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1133 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2026

    Areas affected...southern Iowa

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 276...

    Valid 060433Z - 060600Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 276
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe storms continue across WW276. A stronger cluster
    moving in from the west should transition the threat to mostly
    damaging winds. Some hail and a brief tornado remain possible.

    DISCUSSION...Over the last several hours, severe storms, including a
    few supercells have organized across portions of southern IA. These
    storms have been largely stationary, tied to stronger ascent near a
    diffuse surface boundary. The environment remains quite unstable and sufficiently sheared for supercell structures. This will support a
    continued risk for hail and isolated damaging gusts.

    A larger convective cluster is moving eastward out of WW275. These
    storms have a history of producing severe wind gusts, and will
    interact with the ongoing storms over IA in the next few hours.
    Strong outflow from this forward propagating cluster will likely
    favor a damaging wind risk as convection consolidates and the cold
    pool continues to strengthen. A brief tornado also remains possible
    as strong outflow interacts with any of the more persistent
    supercells. Thus, the severe risk will continue for much of WW276
    this evening and early overnight period.

    ..Lyons.. 06/06/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7dHQNFCNCupePoaq5e-KS6GJmVVSTT9f8sg5fBUftBg0RGSW26tekWKQQ_779k0N52zrwmFdm= v7RtWCEgudMLpKBbVA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...

    LAT...LON 41449513 41799245 41669151 41239126 40919148 40709189
    40659269 40629370 40519464 40529498 40549522 40619551
    41449513=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)