ACUS11 KWNS 071945
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071944=20
WVZ000-KYZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-072145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0169
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 PM CST Sat Mar 07 2026

Areas affected...part of eastern Kentucky...middle and eastern Tennessee...southwestern West Virginia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24...

Valid 071944Z - 072145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 24
continues.

SUMMARY...At least some risk for occasional locally strong to severe
wind gusts probably will persist with a squall line overspreading
the region through the remainder of the afternoon. It is not clear
that an additional severe weather watch is needed, but trends will
continue to be monitored.

DISCUSSION...The pre-frontal squall line has undergone fluctuations
in intensity, but, to this point, has remained modest in strength,
with peak surface gusts mostly below severe limits. Downstream,
across the Cumberland Plateau vicinity, surface dew points have
decreased with continuing insolation and relatively deep
boundary-layer mixing. However, it does appear that at least a
narrow corridor of low-level moistening and destabilization may be
maintained immediately ahead of the squall line as it progresses
eastward through the remainder of the afternoon. While it is not
clear that this will be accompanied by an appreciable further
increase in cold pool strength and severe wind gust potential, at
least some risk for occasional locally strong to severe wind gusts
probably will persist.

..Kerr.. 03/07/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8YdOqUp81vv4eL2v4q8JdGFtjUe1wl4jVGhDBx7t2IXPfN7Oes0nhckRkjzi2Tqz4O0UapG0t= o8rXYerMZk55eedGdI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON 38408357 38258183 37418241 35388501 35078622 35098754
36348622 38408357=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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