• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0168

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Mar 7 18:54:45 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 071854
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 071854=20
    ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-072000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0168
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1254 PM CST Sat Mar 07 2026

    Areas affected...Northeastern Louisiana into Mississippi and Far
    Western Alabama

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

    Valid 071854Z - 072000Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

    SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts are
    expected to increase in coverage across portions of northeastern
    Louisiana into much of central Mississippi and portions of western
    Alabama. A new severe thunderstorm watch could be issued this
    afternoon.

    DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms across northern Louisiana into
    northern Mississippi continues south-southeast across the discussion
    area, with additional thunderstorm development ahead of this line
    ongoing as daytime heating reaches convective temperatures. These
    thunderstorms will be capable of damaging wind gusts up to 70 MPH,
    with the greatest threat being with any localized bowing segments or
    downbursts supported by modest DCAPE and well-mixed boundary layers.
    A new severe thunderstorm watch is being considered for this
    afternoon.

    ..Halbert/Guyer.. 03/07/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6H8ZYcZFIskVjDsBrzAQRYC4eDgcWQbmcd4IkjsHxukbTmC721kvfuK4E9KSrpxdy6RJQY24I= REx0bb-8iPRP2sQ4XI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...SHV...

    LAT...LON 31089089 31249158 31669194 32249205 32899198 33249139
    33739015 34068848 34028809 33548802 33118802 32768805
    32398826 31948845 31808875 31478970 31089089=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)