ACUS11 KWNS 062341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062341=20
OKZ000-070115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0153
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0541 PM CST Fri Mar 06 2026

Areas affected...Portions of central and northeast Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 15...

Valid 062341Z - 070115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 15 continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered supercells will spread northeast across
east-central and northeast Oklahoma this evening.

DISCUSSION...Roughly half a dozen supercells have evolved within a
larger complex of convection across east-central into northeast
Oklahoma. This activity has evolved along the eastern most plume of
steeper low-level lapse rates where boundary layer remains moist and
MLCAPE values are holding around 2000 J/kg. LLJ is currently focused
across eastern OK, and some strengthening is expected during the
evening hours. Current thinking is, for the next few hours, the
greatest concentration of convection/supercells will be along a
corridor from near Ada into the northeast corner of ww015.

..Darrow.. 03/06/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6cl6SJ0LJAWJCcPbx-Q9tFBoRCuwWqo0rDp8rd8ByY7CIhG_T6EltVGZabRLMV7X7_Qq9wUwH= mHLwWAd711sdnaXFoE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON 35179718 36849614 36589468 35609506 34789631 35179718=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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