• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1650

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jul 12 01:34:45 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 120133
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 120132=20
    NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-120300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1650
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0832 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

    Areas affected...southeastern Wyoming...northeastern
    Colorado...western Nebraska

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 509...

    Valid 120132Z - 120300Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 509
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Threat for large hail and damaging wind continues in
    WW509.

    DISCUSSION...Outflow interactions from storms moving off of the high
    terrain has led to a steady increase in thunderstorm activity across northeastern Colorado into western Nebraska. Initial supercells have
    been efficient at producing 1-1.5 (occasionally 2") hail. As storms
    further congeal along outflow, the damaging wind risk may increase
    through the evening across eastern Colorado into northwest Kansas.
    Mode remains somewhat disorganized for now, with much of the
    activity north of the front. For now, more discrete convection will
    continue to pose a risk for large hail.

    ..Thornton.. 07/12/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9ll2EIfHkRJ7rXYizSHhDaaVL9uvUz-ovrs1Fkm1WuieFVSHmhqsJBNqxIHiMQZTe1k0a3v47= _OpcOLKKl5iLi6rOUA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 40850527 41460502 41570467 41680346 41690255 41620210
    41430170 41350154 41130127 40210135 39730186 39670304
    40090483 40100496 40850527=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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