ACUS11 KWNS 172230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172229=20
TXZ000-172330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0844
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0529 PM CDT Sat May 17 2025

Areas affected...North Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 278...

Valid 172229Z - 172330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 278
continues.

SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms capable of primarily large hail
and damaging winds are approaching the southern periphery of the
Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. 2.00-3.5" hail and 65-80 MPH winds are
possible as storms continue north and east this evening.

DISCUSSION...A loose cluster of supercell thunderstorms is
approaching the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex, which will be capable
of large hail and damaging winds. The overall messy nature of
convection appears to be somewhat limiting the severity of hail for
the time being, but will pose a damaging wind threat in the short
term. Additionally, a northward-moving left-split supercell to the
west of Fort Worth will serve as the local maximum for a large hail
threat within WW 278 for the next 1-2 hours.

..Halbert.. 05/17/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5Qb10tvmw2Q4b5_Q3qhl43UNRCCuOAKpRCvC5x3Wz-t3ZwM30S4hErhAehXTBaEnTVPbWJl6Q= eXaX1-jNfYbMm7nJGA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 31459683 31199727 31319772 31539767 31979765 32389776
32759816 33029837 33429828 33669803 33619730 33349663
33259655 32759640 32079641 31459683=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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