• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0582

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Apr 28 02:31:03 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 280230
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 280230=20
    SDZ000-NDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-280400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0582
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0930 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025

    Areas affected...Northern High Plains

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179...

    Valid 280230Z - 280400Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat continues with thunderstorms this evening.

    DISCUSSION...Low-level convergence is gradually shifting east this
    evening as the primary surface cyclone is now into northeast CO.
    Even so, the main boundary currently arcs along the western fringe
    of ww179 from Carter County MT-western Pennington County SD. Several longer-lived storms with large hail are progressing across southeast
    MT toward northwest SD, while more liner activity appears to be
    evolving along the wind shift over the western Black Hills. Hail
    remains the primary concern with this activity, though the potential
    for gusty winds with line segments is of some concern. Severe threat
    continues.

    ..Darrow.. 04/28/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8a9ql1ZNN_0448iuCU01Ncbo5ynaggupVJj0CJ--WDysKimwjZmPxCRAfhc8Mw9VDNqDjIAae= mC47qWpuX4w0nszpNY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...

    LAT...LON 43840400 46580679 46590342 43830079 43840400=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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