ACUS11 KWNS 262319
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262318=20
ARZ000-270045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0572
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0618 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

Areas affected...Western Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 176...

Valid 262318Z - 270045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 176 continues.

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters will propagate east this evening.
Some risk for a brief tornado, or hail/wind gusts can be expected.

DISCUSSION...Remnants of a long-lived MCV are tracking into
northeast OK early this evening. This feature appears to be
weakening within a broader corridor of convection that is now
spreading across eastern OK into western AR. Scattered supercells
have been common along the southern fringe of this complex of
storms, enhanced by low-level warm advection along the northern-most
extent of higher buoyancy. Latest MRMS data suggests hail is common
with the strongest updrafts, especially over southern Little River
County AR. With the LLJ expected to increase across the southern
High Plains later this evening, MCV may continue to weaken as it
progresses into northwest AR. Until then, the greatest risk for
severe storms will be across southwest Arkansas.

..Darrow.. 04/26/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6B5WnsdYnSSuntRtnjxRhlO8WTRScMcydlrroaT5ke8OQe0LMMzMmxmBSNHXLNXk96udohDgj= EqCOfeX34RjhJFG7FU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...

LAT...LON 33179372 34169418 35109440 34999359 33609278 33179372=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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