ACUS11 KWNS 260002
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260001=20
TXZ000-NMZ000-260200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0701 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

Areas affected...West Texas into far southeastern New Mexico

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173...

Valid 260001Z - 260200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for large hail and damaging winds will continue
across WW 173 into the early evening hours.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms developing in an environment largely
characterized by straight-line hodographs will continue to favor
splitting supercells capable of large hail and damaging winds. The
most robust of these supercells is a left split that has moved
northward into WW 172, but additional storms continue to develop
along the higher terrain of the Trans-Pecos mountains. Short term
forecast guidance suggests that this activity should die down after
sunset, though ample buoyancy and shear along with a westward
retreating dryline could result in some lingering after-dark threat.

..Halbert.. 04/26/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9paB6QLZfGFZqrbBXguNxvKEc2UzsxQ89GNDqmlC7Vdzbz3ytmmmd4TIeMn48ZEmQSc_rQpdA= 3d0NwZHAAP12IRcWK4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...

LAT...LON 30690456 31170481 32250478 32600459 32800416 32830353
32730292 32420256 31900241 31290252 30790270 30510292
30510378 30490421 30690456=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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