ACUS11 KWNS 250044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250044=20
TXZ000-250215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0551
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Areas affected...Parts of the TX South Plains

Concerning...Tornado Watch 167...

Valid 250044Z - 250215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 167 continues.

SUMMARY...A localized threat of potentially strong tornadoes has
evolved to the east/northeast of Lubbock, with very large to giant
hail also possible.

DISCUSSION...An intense supercell over Floyd and Motley Counties in
Texas has propagated southeastward into an increasingly moist
boundary layer, accompanied by a notable increase in low-level
mesocyclone strength. Rotational velocity and environmental
characteristics suggest a strong tornado may have occurred within
the last 15-30 minutes. The presence of strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE
greater than 3000 J/kg per the modified 00Z AMA sounding), favorable
deep-layer shear, and enlarging low-level hodographs suggest a
localized threat for strong tornadoes may continue with this cell,
and also potentially with an intense supercell currently over Crosby
County.=20

Greater than 4 inch hail has also been reported in Floyd County, and
a threat for very large to giant hail will likely persist for as
long as the ongoing supercells remain semi-discrete this evening.

..Dean.. 04/25/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!87S2AbOFTCq_iKRwMp5hDI8E0uJvYWu98aTsAEWe-2vVlt7c6r-KaAfmrFlt4MnfH8JMN0I4s= HdbJw-iojv2QBM2uVM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...

LAT...LON 33640149 34110096 34170029 33770008 33370038 33080068
33060144 33640149=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN


=3D =3D =3D
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