ACUS11 KWNS 242229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242228=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-250030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Areas affected...Central and Southeast Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166...

Valid 242228Z - 250030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging straight line winds continues
across WW 166 in portions of central and southeastern Texas. Trends
will continue to be monitored for whether or not local watch
extensions or re-issuance may be needed later this evening.

DISCUSSION...A linear bowing convective complex is ongoing across
east-central Texas, currently moving east-southeast towards the
Louisiana border and the Gulf Coast. While surface observations from
behind the convective outflow have generally remained below severe
criteria, MLCAPE of 15000-2000 and 40 kts of deep-layer shear will
continue to support storm organization and longevity into this
evening. As the convective complex reaches the edge of WW 166, local
watch extensions southeastward may be necessary. New WW issuance
could be needed if the bowing segment continues to maintain its
intensity into the evening, but this scenario remains uncertain at
this time.

..Halbert.. 04/24/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5JTaoDUVRWSz3lpbymXlJ8FTJkso4Wc541DFn6VKJs64fxA655t-pOs72bVqjMTiNBCNZClwc= KN5ujLcbKxES-t7dPc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON 30059714 30339748 30479754 30549712 30649669 30809612
31069588 31319566 31649551 31959535 32249537 32249517
32109467 32009433 31929401 31829352 31629324 31359324
30809346 30259369 30089394 29869438 29709490 29549534
29519585 29569635 29839688 30059714=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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