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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0534

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Apr 24 00:42:24 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 240042
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 240042=20
    KSZ000-COZ000-240215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0534
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0742 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

    Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163...

    Valid 240042Z - 240215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
    Watch 163. Large hail remains the main threat, though severe gust
    could eventually become a bigger concern.

    DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells and multicells are progressing
    across eastern Colorado into western Kansas, many of which have been
    initiating off of outflow boundaries from earlier storms. The
    tendency has been storms to oscillate in intensity and produce 1-2
    inch diameter stones at their peak. However, storm mergers have
    supported strong outflow and the potential development of an MCS
    structure over Kansas. With time, a severe gust threat could
    manifest if the cold pool becomes strong/deep enough. A discrete,
    sustained supercell is also progressing east across eastern
    Colorado, where a baroclinic boundary is fostering storm initiation
    and a local uptick in severe hail potential.

    ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7prRNNsIurNEaknCrUfjOVsqjCsJG9zZyI6er52wFk_KrMv07hnFhKDEijkB1MJ71NNsY9Upv= Id_CHVUBJ7NKNt03m0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

    LAT...LON 39400441 39120278 38910129 38810054 38030026 37530040
    37370101 37510187 37760240 38480340 39090437 39400441=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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