• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0522

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 23 01:54:42 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 230154
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 230153=20
    TXZ000-230330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0522
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0853 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

    Areas affected...Much of western Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159...

    Valid 230153Z - 230330Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat should continue for a few more hours.
    Severe wind and hail remain the primary concerns.

    DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells and multicells persist across
    western TX, several of which have a history of producing severe
    hail/gusts. Nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization is underway,
    which will contribute to gradual diminishing buoyancy and increasing
    MLCINH. While the severe threat should wane into the evening, enough
    buoyancy remains to support a continued severe wind/hail threat for
    at least a few more hours.

    ..Squitieri.. 04/23/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-nIZjzsXDCj0UElvsrQHveo8UkBqUNmVqf3zYaYszN8Moz5VVqm3hAX1Xdq5nRSq8EGamoU_7= 1GZ6rNwi7Tx6vWPDB0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

    LAT...LON 29960228 31060269 32840275 33640253 34140223 34740119
    34620054 33530026 32500020 31370024 30460055 29870119
    29960228=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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