• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0520

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 23 00:46:08 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 230044
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 230044=20
    KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-230215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0520
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0744 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

    Areas affected...Western Oklahoma...south-central Kansas...northwest
    Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 160...

    Valid 230044Z - 230215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 160
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible.

    DISCUSSION...Primary zone of low-level convergence currently extends
    from west of GBD-southeast of LBL-north of DHT. Low-level moisture
    is slowly advancing northwest into this boundary with 50+ surface
    dew points into the eastern OK Panhandle. Over the next few hours,
    LLJ is forecast to increase across the northern TX Panhandle into
    southwest KS. This may aid renewed convection north of Woodward into south-central KS where robust thunderstorms are ongoing, and are
    likely producing large hail.

    A small cluster of strong/severe thunderstorms is propagating east
    toward southwest OK. This activity should advance into the western
    portions of ww160 over the next hour or so. Hail remains the primary
    risk.

    ..Darrow.. 04/23/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-C5PW7pW4lTCEOl6Q1gZB-YwwPP_DiLaQUAz-mk3HMxM25S4U7b8RkReBbUt7xRRSBAchJgnF= gkbKiheJAZn31HpEXo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ICT...FWD...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...

    LAT...LON 33340008 38529936 38549753 33369836 33340008=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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