ACUS11 KWNS 201924
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201923=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-202100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0503
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0223 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

Areas affected...Southwest into central Missouri

Concerning...Tornado Watch 154...

Valid 201923Z - 202100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 154 continues.

SUMMARY...Storms moving along and near the lifting warm front will
have an increased potential to produce a tornado given the
development of a more favorable environment over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Strong surface pressure falls have been noted in
central Missouri over the past couple of hours. The surface low is
deepening and should continue to track northeastward this afternoon.
Low-level winds have also begun to respond to the deepening cyclone
per regional VAD winds. Further increase in 850 mb winds are
expected over the next few hours as well. As temperatures continue
to rise south of the lifting warm front, storms tracking near and
along the boundary will have an increased potential to produce a
tornado--a strong tornado would be possible.

..Wendt.. 04/20/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4Cx8QJ7nDkU-HdQYMLlKxYA0BRMkfJGAkPuMe6aqjr68hkgb0t8xCY4CvMSkSG1P4UKlLdE1K= 4T_tq5ZwdR_tmb6NWc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...

LAT...LON 37409490 37569488 37759470 38219413 38799372 39229316
39449280 39539226 39539186 39349144 39059142 38509168
37939282 36989415 36979482 37409490=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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