ACUS11 KWNS 192121
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192121=20
TXZ000-192215-
Mesoscale Discussion 0485
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0421 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Areas affected...Portions of southwestern Texas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 147...
Valid 192121Z - 192215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 147 continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 147. The highest tornado threat exists with supercells
interacting with a boundary.
DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have become sustained across
portions of southwestern Texas, with the lead supercell having a
history of producing a tornado while interacting with a mesoscale
baroclinic boundary. While severe gusts and hail will remain a
concern with these storms over the next several hours, additional
tornadoes remain possible with any of these storms if their updrafts
can anchor to the boundary and effectively ingest locally higher
SRH.
..Squitieri.. 04/19/2025
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_cmgcJqGXJaaBZJSLw6hHbVToV5z_rK04_wqFkAGXlzicXQ17vJnPDTJaR15eWRCg4IU9g0CI= 5AmDS13mT4b-pUVWCs$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 31080228 32170133 32850017 32939959 32569937 32029956
31550001 31220058 31040114 30940195 31080228=20
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
=3D =3D =3D
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