• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0464

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Apr 18 02:52:02 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 180250
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 180250=20
    IAZ000-180415-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0464
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0950 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

    Areas affected...southern Iowa

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 141...

    Valid 180250Z - 180415Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 141 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat will continue for another hour or two.

    DISCUSSION...Two mature supercells continue to move across southern
    Iowa. These supercells have now transited the best low-level
    moisture and are moving toward lesser instability. In addition,
    boundary layer cooling will continue to increase surface based
    inhibition this evening and into the overnight hours. The
    increasingly hostile thermodynamic environment should eventually
    bring an end to the severe weather threat within the next hour or
    two across southern Iowa. In the meantime, large hail, severe wind
    gusts, and perhaps a tornado remain possible threats with these
    supercells as their strong mid-level pressure perturbations permit
    them to persist despite the aforementioned unfavorable conditions.

    ..Bentley.. 04/18/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9m_9wCasQcDVyAFTAf5f7ECXPXxvmBz40SJcpsZ1CNJiic37C0_Z-faHnlmRUMMKOwGHZ4P03= 6VQoOyOMdcw-jXjoKM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...

    LAT...LON 40769367 40769404 40779474 40859506 41099495 41459454
    41509326 40849309 40769367=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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