ACUS11 KWNS 171138
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171137=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-171300-
Mesoscale Discussion 0457
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0637 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
Areas affected...southwest MO
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 171137Z - 171300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...An isolated severe wind/hail threat may persist for a
couple more hours, but should diminish during the mid-morning.
DISCUSSION...Early morning convection has largely consolidated into
a cluster along the KS/MO border. This activity will probably
continue southeastward into southwest MO over the next couple hours.
While the leading cell in the cluster has lost its deep core, it may
produce a swath of strong gusts. Upstream embedded cell has yielded
marginally severe hail and may undergo a similar evolution to the
lead cell. This activity will be moving into a progressively drier
air mass in MO. In conjunction with diurnal weakening of the
low-level jet, this cluster should weaken by late morning.
..Grams/Thompson.. 04/17/2025
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!77xTazcKM30REITjymiLXhS4g5FZkSY6kCqj2o9Y15Bibc0cKIY4ooM_BqPFXfgf7drjuCDV6= 1HjZg4qUVc4PzTozik$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...
LAT...LON 38439392 38519358 38259276 37929215 37509210 37169227
36929243 36939362 37069420 37739472 38149467 38439392=20
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
=3D =3D =3D
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