• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0439

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Apr 7 23:49:47 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 072349
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 072348=20
    NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-080115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0439
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0648 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025

    Areas affected...Eastern Carolinas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134...

    Valid 072348Z - 080115Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong, to locally severe, thunderstorms will spread
    across the eastern Carolinas this evening.

    DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal confluence zone extends across the Coastal
    Carolinas early this evening. Over the last half hour or so, some
    increase in intensity has been noted with convection from near
    FLO-MEB. This activity has gradually evolved into a line segment,
    and damaging winds may become a threat if a bowing-type structure
    ultimately evolves. Damaging winds are the greatest risk with
    organized convection this evening.

    ..Darrow.. 04/07/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!82fzZmOXG2r6YxhOPoYg7ilfJnkkGGqqiOExZ68XrT_19etvHZbv5lThqGH2Qh_0C09FvNQGe= nE5_tWoY1qR_0qzFyU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

    LAT...LON 33448059 36707725 36707508 33457851 33448059=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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