• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0437

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Apr 7 20:35:49 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 072035
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 072035=20
    NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-072130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0437
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0335 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025

    Areas affected...parts of NC SC and southern VA

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134...

    Valid 072035Z - 072130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The damaging wind threat continues across WW134, primarily
    with the band of storms moving over eastern NC and southern VA.
    However, additional storms remain possible farther south.

    DISCUSSION...As of 2040 UTC, regional radar imagery shows an
    organized linear cluster of thunderstorms ongoing from far
    southeastern VA into eastern NC. Over the last 2 hours, several
    reports of wind damage, and measured severe gusts have been reported
    with the line segment across parts of VA and NC. This appears likely
    to continue to the coast as the line segment moves east-northeast at
    50 kt.

    Farther south, lingering cloud cover has resulted in only isolated
    weak convection and showers across parts of SC. Some recent CA
    guidance suggests a few stronger cells may eventually emerge closer
    to the coast where heating has been more pronounced. A damaging wind
    gusts threat could evolve with any deeper connective cells that
    become established in the next couple of hours as the primary cold
    front continues to shift east.

    ..Lyons.. 04/07/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!96D07ehsSf4hDBk_U-kfl5Kplsuo0dqXVuQt2rXtB3gS4WILN5dBq_Vz5tIAcHZv7HjesDg2w= TSRknIN7EPr9-42sC0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...

    LAT...LON 34148002 35577811 36327716 36667645 36757605 36377560
    35767544 35217554 34677632 34347712 34207793 33637912
    33627965 33718001 34148002=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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