ACUS11 KWNS 071538
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071537=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-071700-

Mesoscale Discussion 0434
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1037 AM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Florida Panhandle into south central
Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 133...

Valid 071537Z - 071700Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 133 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for tornadoes and wind damage will persist with
embedded supercells through early afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A pre-frontal band of convection, with embedded
supercell structures, has showed signs of slow intensification from
mid-late morning from the FL Panhandle into south central GA.=20
Surface heating in advance of the convective band, along with
sufficient deep-layer shear and low-level hodograph curvature per
regional VWPs, will maintain embedded supercell structures and the
threat for tornadoes (as confirmed by recent TDSs in Thomas Co. GA
and Leon Co. FL) and occasional wind damage. Likewise, modest
forcing for ascent along the pre-frontal band will also favor line
breaks and semi-discrete storms within the band through early
afternoon.

..Thompson.. 04/07/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8sLrGyIwNO2-hQn5fTlVJexYk5w4FPqxuIJonv9g7KLdNPyyoLNWqLyRa56Qg5iRiRrRQkc8O= GuR1WOrju1DV2O0AIA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 29978360 29658456 29818501 31088414 31798342 32038287
31998234 31778215 30938264 29978360=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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