ACUS11 KWNS 061753
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061753=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-061930-

Mesoscale Discussion 0427
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

Areas affected...parts of eastern Alabama...western Georgia and the
far northern Florida panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 132...

Valid 061753Z - 061930Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 132 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for damaging winds and a couple tornadoes
continues this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Across WW132, a broken line of convection with embedded
bowing segments was observed across parts of eastern AL and western
GA, with newer convection developing across southern AL/southeastern
MS. Over the last hour, the southern most of the two prominent
bowing segments has largely maintained intensity and will continue
to pose a damaging wind and isolated tornado risk through the short
term. However, these storms are approaching the eastern edge of the
warm sector with the northern bow rapidly weakening. Farther south,
the newer portions of the line have increased in intensity somewhat,
likely aided by earlier heating and dewpoints near 70F.

Some strengthening of the southerly low-level jet (observed from the
MOB VAD) should keep shear profiles favorable for organized storms,
including bows or embedded supercell structures across much of the
warm sector. CAM guidance suggests another bowing segment or more
organized cluster could emerge across the southern end of the line
in the next few hours. Severe potential (e.g. a couple tornadoes and
damaging wind gusts) appears highest with any more organized
elements through the remainder of the afternoon as storms move into
southern AL and parts of the FL Panhandle over the next few hours.

..Lyons.. 04/06/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7cO9hjk5P-u8U-ZlDxmVYijq7e9PjV_DYI3eiCXob5nwlnD8Q2pKYScA3_gF-0d_CFx25cC-A= Np9X95Vcg9uGO3xZsk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON 30668876 32318663 33518514 34188402 34028326 33238355
31588495 30538626 30458632 30358821 30668876=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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