• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0422

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Apr 6 06:37:06 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 060637
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 060636=20
    GAZ000-ALZ000-060730-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0422
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0136 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

    Areas affected...parts of nern AL...nwrn GA into adjacent sern TN

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 128...

    Valid 060636Z - 060730Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 128 continues.

    SUMMARY...Ongoing convection approaching northwestern Georgia has
    shown substantive weakening trends, with little potential for
    appreciable intensification anticipated. A new severe weather watch
    appears unlikely, but trends will continue to be monitored.

    DISCUSSION...Within a strong, and strongly sheared, ambient
    southwesterly regime, the leading edge of a line of convection
    continues to propagate toward areas near and south of the southern Appalachians. Stronger convection is largely focused along and to
    the cool side of its outflow, and has recently tended to weaken,
    with lighting rapidly diminishing. Relatively warm temperatures
    associated with broad ridging aloft continue to limit instability of southeasterly low-level storm inflow, and boundary-layer dew points
    decrease into the lower 60s across much of central and northern
    Georgia. With little substantive improvement probable, ongoing
    convection seems likely to continue to weaken with diminishing
    severe weather potential across northeastern Alabama into adjacent
    northwestern Georgia.

    ..Kerr.. 04/06/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8b34kMg6OkfS1bIWBoNAvmUGExS6v1cInX3Qn7Uo8Srrz7BwI2oH83V-i-zublX80gNiBnkQa= TGinnvMX9TWB04rCXo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...

    LAT...LON 34418632 34908552 34958460 34468459 34108524 33658606
    33838682 34178665 34418632=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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