• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2222

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Nov 8 21:36:47 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 082136
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 082136=20
    TXZ000-OKZ000-082330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2222
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0336 PM CST Fri Nov 08 2024

    Areas affected...south-central Oklahoma to central Texas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 708...

    Valid 082136Z - 082330Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 708 continues.

    SUMMARY...Local, all-hazards severe risk continues across WW 708.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop depicts essentially a steady-state
    character over the past 1 to 2 hours, in terms of convective
    intensity. A few storms have exhibited transient/weak rotation, and
    the strongest portion of the line -- extending from south-central
    Oklahoma to just west of the DFW Metroplex -- remains loosely
    organized. Still, some additional destabilization has occurred in
    the past two hours -- particularly from the Metroplex southward,
    where lesser cloud cover has permitted heating sufficient to push
    mixed-layer CAPE into the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range per RAP-based
    objective analysis. Given the sufficient background shear which
    remains in place, potential for some ramp-up in severe potential
    could occur over the next 1 to 2 hours, primarily across the
    southern half of the WW.

    ..Goss.. 11/08/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8BgWZZfCDRI6MkPRuREyopHSIYhEguIittZwprQq8sioRysKbqjsK67LR3bU2b2nBaT8t90Pa= E6NhZD1r1mgw2yvSf4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...

    LAT...LON 34659810 34749769 34269668 31049597 30999795 32809785
    33739780 34659810=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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