• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1962

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Aug 20 02:31:39 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 200231
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 200231=20
    MTZ000-200400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1962
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0931 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2024

    Areas affected...north-central Montana

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 640...

    Valid 200231Z - 200400Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 640
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Risk for locally damaging wind gusts continues across
    parts of north-central Montana, in/near WW 640.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows that as storms have descended
    from higher elevations into a more moist/unstable airmass, intensification/organization of the storms into a loose banded
    structure has occurred. The convection is moving northeastward at
    around 40 kt, and has produced wind gusts in the 50 to 60 MPH range
    over the past hour, along with small hail. Expect risk for damaging
    wind gusts to continue locally over the next hour or so, before
    storms weaken -- and begin moving across the international border.=20
    This should correspond well to the currently scheduled 20/04Z
    expiration time set for WW 640.

    ..Goss.. 08/20/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6nDOrcKZTz5HrC08xI21vBpScEGxCI35rUZgkTZAYSAf4VuHoq34fmQNRqpS8513xcKQWlcgv= KuLgywxz4NvYnra8qk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...

    LAT...LON 47961130 48241110 48841063 48920826 47100859 46680943
    47091000 47631058 47961130=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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