ACUS11 KWNS 080620
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080619=20
NCZ000-080815-

Mesoscale Discussion 1863
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0119 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024

Areas affected...Eastern NC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 612...

Valid 080619Z - 080815Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 612 continues.

SUMMARY...Some tornado threat will continue overnight. New watch
issuance to the west of WW 612 is possible.

DISCUSSION...Occasional small supercells have been redeveloping
across parts of eastern NC early this morning, within an environment characterized by rich tropical moisture and relatively strong
low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH near 200 m2/s2 per the KMHX
VWP). This process may continue through the overnight, as convection
continues to spread inland within the northeast quadrant of Tropical
Storm Debby, with an attendant tornado threat.=20

Thus far, the western extent of the threat has been limited by an
extensive rain shield further inland across parts of central/eastern
NC. However, this rain shield may tend to shift somewhat westward
with time, with potential for some destabilization and an increasing
tornado threat to the west of WW 612. New watch issuance is possible
in order to address the potentially expanding threat.

..Dean/Edwards.. 08/08/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4xER6Xf06IyGKbO_Ssq_h_TDib0A_wh93gUaEjdRfuzhiE7bZLlgviqTX-o54N0AhPJeanmOn= LyolZJmeHCOEXkWFcw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON 34267806 34467830 34827849 35327842 35837807 36237759
36357623 36327611 36087561 35707538 35127562 34547622
34277685 34117752 34157777 34267806=20


=3D =3D =3D
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