ACUS11 KWNS 252145
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252145=20
UTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-252315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1708
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0445 PM CDT Thu Jul 25 2024

Areas affected...Central and Eastern Nevada into Northwestern Utah

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 252145Z - 252315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms capable of severe wind gusts are possible
across central and eastern Nevada into northwestern Utah this
afternoon and evening.

DISCUSSION...Steep lapse rates and relatively dry boundary layer
profiles will support the potential for damaging wind gusts from
thunderstorm outflow this afternoon and evening. With only meager
buoyancy and minimal mid or upper-level flow/deep vertical shear to
support organized convection, the occurrence of any severe winds
will be isolated unless interacting thunderstorm outflow begins to
organize into bowing segments later this evening. However,
uncertainty in this scenario remains high, meaning severe
thunderstorm watch issuance is uncertain at this time.

..Halbert/Weinman/Hart.. 07/25/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8cis7YKbpy_-80Z8DHD2APsvGM5UXLtBYtWohy4FRPx4BL23mLxOzlg_azIZgY3tIa4yh4-rX= AN-UT730nEu4ONkUTE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...REV...

LAT...LON 38671526 38601626 38641666 38851715 39051736 39271759
39671774 39991785 40421760 40891682 41441604 42011518
42391459 42761392 42921296 42841238 42681210 42311184
41901177 41461171 40891171 40371207 39911224 39191286
38921363 38761437 38671526=20


=3D =3D =3D
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