ACUS11 KWNS 150736
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150736=20
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-150930-

Mesoscale Discussion 1626
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0236 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Areas affected...Central and Southeast North Dakota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536...

Valid 150736Z - 150930Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and severe gusts will continue to
be possible for at least a couple more hours across parts of central
and southeastern North Dakota.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows an MCS across
central and southeastern South Dakota, where a cluster of strong to
severe storms is ongoing. The cluster is located along a
northwest-to-southeast gradient of moderate instability extending
across central and southeastern North Dakota. The storms are being
supported by large-scale ascent associated with a subtle shortwave
trough, evident on water vapor imagery. The latest WSR-88D VWP at
Bismarck has 0-6 km shear near 70 knots, owing mostly to strong
speed shear in the lowest 6 km. This is expected to support
continued cell organization within the MCS over the next couple of
hours. Large hail and isolated severe gusts will be the primary
threats.

..Broyles.. 07/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8qNsyYLeuHvmhh7QpZdxi4WqDO5UAstzLDIKM3VdzNYksvODyCRlEFNnZ9ZMgdGm6Nq8K-CyD= 1QVOApmv7_fOPbdETg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...

LAT...LON 47129729 47579825 47669871 47689917 47509961 47279995
46929994 46609949 46249894 45969834 45939780 45949727
46009684 46179654 46499652 47129729=20


=3D =3D =3D
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