• PTC Beryl Final Position

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Thu Jul 11 09:21:00 2024
    334
    WTNT32 KWNH 110253
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 50
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024
    1100 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024

    ...POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
    NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLABND TAPERS OFF LATE...
    ...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THE LATE EVENING...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...43.1N 80.3W
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF BUFFALO NEW YORK
    ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM WSW OF MONTREAL QUEBEC
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    Flood Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions of...
    * Central and Northern New York
    * Northern New England


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl
    was located near latitude 43.1 North, longitude 80.3 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 20
    mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue as the system
    weakens.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Little change in strength is forecast during the next 12 hours.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Heavy rainfall will result in areas of flash flooding, some of which
    may be locally considerable, in portions of northeastern New York
    and northern New England before tapering off late tonight. Isolated
    minor to moderate river flooding is possible.

    Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
    and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

    TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible this evening from the
    Upper Mid-Atlantic States into western New England,

    RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher
    amounts, is expected across portions of the eastern Great Lakes
    through northern New England through tonight.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Post Tropical Cyclone Beryl, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

    For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
    this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the
    WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center on this system.

    $$
    Forecaster Bann

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)