• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1475

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 29 19:31:12 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 291931
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 291930=20
    MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-292100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1475
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0230 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

    Areas affected...portions of northern WV into MD and northern VA

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 291930Z - 292100Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong storms may produce locally damaging gusts
    into early evening. Area is being monitored for possible watch
    issuance.

    DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are developing within weak to
    moderate instability and modest vertical shear. A narrow corridor
    may exist where more favorable shear overlaps with stronger
    instability and steep low-level lapse rates. A few strong to
    isolated severe storms capable of mainly damaging gusts (45-60 mph)
    will be possible into early evening. While spatial/temporal extent
    of the risk is expected to remain limited, a small severe
    thunderstorm watch is being considered.

    ..Leitman/Gleason.. 06/29/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8LnrPG4Kkdl0mwkkyPaAHz7L5VTPwOd_cE_tC4SR9UQfZp3w8NvpvZuxrLLzr7EE_3Hi3NMcM= 2notOlHhsEyKxmoqdo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...

    LAT...LON 39558101 39717857 39717717 39457695 39077717 38997762
    38877915 38838009 38878085 39058157 39358145 39528123
    39558101=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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