ACUS11 KWNS 272304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272303=20
NDZ000-280030-
Mesoscale Discussion 1452
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0603 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Areas affected...portions of southwestern North Dakota
Concerning...Tornado Watch 476...
Valid 272303Z - 280030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 476 continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 476. A
few tornadoes remain possible with discrete supercells, but the
severe wind threat should increase as an MCS overtakes the
supercells in the next few hours.
DISCUSSION...Two discrete supercells continue across southwestern ND
as a well-developed MCS (with a history of severe gusts) approaches
from southeastern MT. 22Z mesoanalysis shows modestly
curved/elongated hodographs preceding the supercells, along with
200-300 m2/s2 effective SRH, supporting tornado potential. With
time, the fast approaching MCS from the west will merge with the
supercells. This may augment the severe wind threat, with 75-90 mph
gusts possible. QLCS tornadoes will still be a concern as well.
..Squitieri.. 06/27/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4R9qNu0sBT4Kwiver-GVtuKujSYpYz_KQhrbwdhkQit-cC5a7FBV7keZc1b8U2p8TxpKco2U4= SzCaB8GClVMTKxBRbQ$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
LAT...LON 46530361 46820384 47190384 47490370 47420305 46890267
46530303 46530361=20
=3D =3D =3D
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