ACUS11 KWNS 102211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102210=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-102345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1230
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0510 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Areas affected...Portions of southeastern GA and southern SC

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 403...

Valid 102210Z - 102345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 403
continues.

SUMMARY...Instances of isolated large hail and locally damaging
gusts remain possible across portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch
403 through around 01Z.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar data from KJGX and KCLX depict widely
scattered splitting/discrete thunderstorms with occasional supercell structures. This activity is being aided by a long/mostly straight
hodograph (around 45 kt of 0-6 km shear), sampled by regional VWP.
Antecedent heating/destabilization of a moist boundary layer (lower
70s dewpoints) should support the maintenance of these storms
through around 01Z -- despite the gradual onset of nocturnal
stabilization. Given the aforementioned hodograph structure (and
splitting storm mode), isolated large hail generally (1-1.5 inches)
and locally damaging gusts (45-60 mph) are the main concerns.
However, isolated hail up to 2 inches cannot be entirely ruled out
with any longer-lived/organized supercell structures.

..Weinman.. 06/10/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6RsIVM9zKVq215H7IzJJLQpcXvZSnM4g_DZJIQivLGPkmlkxQLIjuMI4sUi9g7aYma_WWZTiY= AGE-qJo3t901ow60K0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 31828192 31888250 31788306 32048350 32548325 33138224
33168143 32908018 32637991 31568084 31378118 31828192=20


=3D =3D =3D
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