ACUS11 KWNS 080638
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080638=20
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-080815-

Mesoscale Discussion 1200
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0138 AM CDT Sat Jun 08 2024

Areas affected...southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...northeast
Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 080638Z - 080815Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A line of storms across southeast Kansas may produce
isolated damaging wind gusts as it moves southeast this morning.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across eastern Kansas has become
somewhat better organized in the past 30 minutes. The more outflow
dominant appearance on 0.5 degree reflectivity from KTWX and KEAX
has become better balanced and subsequently, echo tops have
increased. This is likely related to the strengthening low-level jet
(50 knots per INX VWP) across the region. A dry airmass across
Missouri has triggered a quick demise of stronger storms that move
out of Kansas. However, there remains a corridor of better moisture
and buoyancy across southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma with
modest moisture in southwest Missouri and northwest Arkansas. This
may support strong/occasionally severe wind gusts with the squall
line as it moves southeast through the morning hours.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/08/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4aWAUATIVKkJU3C857exyXjgbFLSqMbiOVpzBIXsbYP3YzRk66CCSZ6-eEF4ENE1hFL2euOXb= rpV0jdIl37MpAtGQdU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 38119639 38219582 38389531 38489515 38499481 38329439
37969399 37139366 36439355 36059407 36049477 36189555
36649624 37249661 38119639=20


=3D =3D =3D
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