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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1101

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 1 02:25:15 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 010225
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 010224=20
    KSZ000-COZ000-010400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1101
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0924 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

    Areas affected...east-central and parts of southeastern Colorado

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 361...

    Valid 010224Z - 010400Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 361
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The ongoing cluster of severe storms will likely remain
    capable of damaging hail (some greater than 2 inches) and severe
    wind gusts into this evening.

    DISCUSSION...As of 0215 UTC, regional radar analysis showed a loose
    cluster of strong to severe storms ongoing across east-central CO.
    Over the last 2 hours, several reports of severe hail have occurred
    with these storms. Moderate instability and deep-layer shear remain
    in place ahead of the cluster suggesting a continued risk for strong
    updrafts capable of severe hail, some of which could be greater than
    2 inches. Recent radar trends and surface observations also suggest
    stronger cold pool development is underway, which may eventually
    support the development of a small MCS. Along with the risk for
    hail, damaging wind potential may increase as storms begin to
    propagate east/southeast over the next few hours. However, with the
    onset of nocturnal cooling and air mass overturning from previous
    convection, it remains unclear how far south and east the severe
    threat will persist.

    ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5ZvBDRGa1wA4lZlzeOLhtBQsa1yaB_hDsNIu6zk33rk83lxT2jKLPUj_Ud306Mgu9JVScX98M= bCOJGmqxsIveP4QXOM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

    LAT...LON 37720206 37630219 37610244 37700347 37830380 38000412
    38220440 38470449 38990446 39280428 39340370 39330274
    39070205 37960203 37720206=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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