• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1074

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu May 30 07:02:57 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 300702
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 300702=20
    TXZ000-OKZ000-300830-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1074
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0202 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

    Areas affected...northwest TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351...

    Valid 300702Z - 300830Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat appears to be diminishing within WW 351,
    while an isolated severe hail/wind threat should persist farther
    east in a portion of northwest Texas.

    DISCUSSION...The longer-lived supercell that produced significant
    severe in east-central NM, weakened substantially as it shifted eat
    into the TX South Plains. This appears to be in response to
    impinging on greater MLCIN, despite larger buoyancy to its
    southeast. Meanwhile, a cluster flare-up has occurred downstream
    towards the southeast TX Panhandle. This cluster has shown some
    organization, although the cluster mode appears to be limiting hail
    magnitudes. Isolated severe hail will probably remain most prominent
    within the southwest portion of this cluster development back to the
    remnant supercell. Localized severe wind gusts may become the
    overarching threat as the cluster gradually shifts east. How long
    this threat will last is uncertain, but it's plausible it will
    continue through the rest of pre-dawn.

    ..Grams.. 05/30/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-Z840_iXisEXoNURh0R_kabkf7utsatpwp90pd5AXl0exstmRlzF2GCu2Ct8Uc-MHFN2elerl= 0flc4G8l2aLz5PA0b4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

    LAT...LON 34190267 34280186 34610113 34800071 34810037 34679993
    34279983 34029997 33880033 33780133 33740216 33900275
    34190267=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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