ACUS11 KWNS 292236
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292236=20
NDZ000-SDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-300000-
Mesoscale Discussion 1070
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0536 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024
Areas affected...Northern High Plains
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 349...
Valid 292236Z - 300000Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 349
continues.
SUMMARY...Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms will shift east this
evening.
DISCUSSION...Weak mid-level height falls are beginning to suppress
the northern Plains ridge early this evening. Scattered convection
that evolved over northeast WY has progressed downstream into the
primary instability axis characterized by MLCAPE on the order of
1500 J/kg. This activity should continue advancing east this evening
as LLJ is expected to increase markedly after sunset in response to
the approaching upper trough. Latest radar data suggests many
updrafts are generating hail, the most robust updrafts may be
producing hail in excess of 1.5 inches. Gusty winds may also
accompany this activity as it advances downstream.
..Darrow.. 05/29/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-HjVbKdNaibF3K_ZuQLpyIQpeKAazWJVVZpwb3qi9VjpaBCSc56DF4kXD4gFOzrA34ezYNBya= bbyI2Zf8Y9dy9sPe_4$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...
LAT...LON 43150632 48870738 48870274 43150215 43150632=20
=3D =3D =3D
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