ACUS11 KWNS 282036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282036=20
TXZ000-282130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1051
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0336 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Areas affected...portions of southwestern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345...

Valid 282036Z - 282130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 345. Severe hail and wind remain the primary threats, with a
couple instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 65+ kt wind gusts
possible. Significant severe wind gusts are most likely with merging
storm clusters.

DISCUSSION...Multicells with embedded transient supercells have
developed over the Trans Pecos in the past few hours, with the KMAF
radar showing 50 kft echo tops, and MRMS mosaic radar imagery
showing MESH tracks potentially producing hail over 2 inches in
diameter in spots. These storms will continue to track eastward amid
a buoyant and strongly sheared airmass. The more dominant updrafts
will remain capable of producing severe wind and hail for at least a
few more hours. A couple stones may exceed 2 inches in diameter. If
greater upscale growth into one or more pronounced MCSs occurs,
severe gusts will become the main threat, with a few 65+ kt gusts
possible.

..Squitieri.. 05/28/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7b2OTji5ac_BLrB2lDa6OmdkgOlbEZnvMLWMTMilwnwklvnePkIM0IaZe6hC0HWaeQCFjCzy8= Hnhxgpm3BiDlVn0wy0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 30620327 31360331 32390283 32760170 32630037 31840008
31030007 30160029 29830088 29830201 30620327=20


=3D =3D =3D
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