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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0971

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 26 12:51:14 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 261251
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 261250=20
    TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-261445-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0971
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0750 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

    Areas affected...Mid Mississippi Valley into central Kentucky/Middle
    Tennessee

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 314...

    Valid 261250Z - 261445Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 314 continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe risk -- including a couple of tornadoes along with
    damaging wind gusts and hail -- continues across Tornado Watch 314.=20
    Risk will eventually spread east of this watch, likely warranting
    downstream WW issuance into central Kentucky and Middle Tennessee,
    and potentially southern Indiana.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows that convection has evolved
    into a bowing MCS across southeastern Missouri, and now moving
    across the Mississippi Valley, with embedded small-scale
    circulations embedded therein. As such, risk for a couple of
    tornadoes continues, along with more widespread potential for
    damaging winds/hail.

    Downstream from the ongoing convection, ample instability appears to
    extend eastward as far as central Kentucky and Middle Tennessee.=20
    Given the well-organized nature of this MCS -- including the
    MCV/mesolow apparent in southeastern Missouri -- expect that storms
    will remain organized as they shift eastward, accompanied by
    continued severe risk over the next few hours at least. While the
    watch currently runs through 26/15Z, risk likely continuing beyond
    this time/downstream from the eastern edge of the watch will likely
    require new WW issuance in the 14Z to 1430Z time frame.

    ..Goss.. 05/26/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4xqBCscluMu0cTwfNNU01iVbMmeRLZkiz5qOigKMwwbbF2zWZgec6f877A6eKHlhxD90aXEcC= tBpTGHLSPZ9glMXfoA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

    LAT...LON 35968991 36728934 37418966 37688948 38078722 38178558
    36268514 35518585 35718813 35968991=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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