ACUS11 KWNS 260119
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260119=20
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-260245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0960
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0819 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

Areas affected...South-Central/Southeast
KS...North-Central/Northeast OK

Concerning...Tornado Watch 308...

Valid 260119Z - 260245Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for all severe hazards will persist for the next
several hours into more of southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma,
and eventually into portions of southwest Missouri and far northwest
Arkansas. A downstream watch is likely.

DISCUSSION...Complex convective evolution is in process across
south-central KS and north-central OK as numerous left-splits and
associated outflow interacts with a previously semi-discrete
supercell. New development is also occurring along outflow from
northeast Major County through southern Garfield County and
advecting into the region, adding to the storm interactions and
overall complexity of the mesoscale environment. Some forward
propagation has been noted within the southernmost portion of the
area (i.e. Noble County), which seemingly suggests some upscale
growth could be occurring. However, a similar surge has not been
noted farther north thus far, with larger-scale organization still
lacking.

Strong buoyancy and robust deep-layer shear remain in place,
suggesting that some reorganization is possible over time, with the
severe threat extending into southeast KS and northwest OK, and
eventually into adjacent portions of southwest MO and far northwest
AR.

..Mosier/Smith.. 05/26/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-IhZjqgSUs2GMzR0lIlRjweNzEuWoFr0sXRH6J58U_AZ27cQi8bsAm8ObCK_w-LY8WTVQHoNt= yzrTkWTaD2l5Nm7DQc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON 37339841 37779670 37559407 35779434 35869670 36199833
37339841=20


=3D =3D =3D
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