ACUS11 KWNS 251803
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251803=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-252000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0950
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

Areas affected...portions of extreme eastern Georgia into South
Carolina and extreme southern North Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 251803Z - 252000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts and a couple instances of hail may
accompany the stronger pulse storms through the afternoon. Given the
expected sparse severe coverage, a WW issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...To the east of the more organized thunderstorms over
GA, a moist airmass continues to destabilize over SC into extreme
southern NC with prolonged diurnal heating. Surface temperatures are approaching 90 F in spots, with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s F contributing to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Tropospheric flow fields (and thus
deep-layer shear) are weak, so the overall severe threat should be
sparse with pulse-cellular storms today, and a WW issuance not
expected. Nonetheless, the available buoyancy will promote wet
downbursts with isolated damaging gust potential and perhaps some
hail.

..Squitieri/Bunting.. 05/25/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-NsF6YpQ8UQG65SlXNPtHuIqMIijEp_PU4qu6adz-DhTQb2XKtId4CtzJeuMf27Z_F15th4au= GR_nYY_LdV1g-NBNus$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON 31838078 32668171 33568235 34148208 34638118 34927969
34747871 34397805 34117791 33857831 33317905 32957942
32398027 31988060 31838078=20


=3D =3D =3D
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