ACUS11 KWNS 231929
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231929=20
MEZ000-232100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0913
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024

Areas affected...Parts of southern/eastern ME

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 292...

Valid 231929Z - 232100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 292
continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for hail and damaging wind will spread
eastward through the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A line of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms is
ongoing from southern into northeast Maine this afternoon. The
immediate downstream environment remains somewhat favorable for
organized convection, with MLCAPE approaching 1000 J/kg and modestly
favorable deep-layer shear (as noted on the 17Z/18Z CAR/GYX modified
soundings and regional VWPs), and some threat for hail and damaging
wind will continue into late afternoon.=20

With cooler onshore flow noted over the Downeast Maine vicinity,
some weakening will be possible with time as storms move into this
region. However, sufficient elevated buoyancy may still support some
threat for isolated marginal hail and/or a strong/damaging gust
before storms move offshore. Isolated storm redevelopment also
remains possible into southern ME behind the outflow, though at this
time any severe threat with this redevelopment is currently expected
to remain marginal and isolated.

..Dean.. 05/23/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8GrqDYzHY2ZRAanuS9bvroOQzrZewjmIXkhuy5IETI9anQAmw6fHa7qzQO2gipy_XhB4ti39f= Q5NN0k1-NzTzjQBuLA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

LAT...LON 44466996 45846876 47016855 47236857 47266808 46866769
45846764 44756782 44256824 43856895 43756954 43796993
43927026 44177063 44466996=20


=3D =3D =3D
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