• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0901

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed May 22 22:57:34 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 222257
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 222257=20
    VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-230030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0901
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0557 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

    Areas affected...South-central Kentucky and northern middle
    Tennessee

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 222257Z - 230030Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail may
    accompany a bowing line segment across north-central middle TN and south-central KY over the next 1-2 hours.

    DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery shows a bowing segment with a
    descending RIJ progressing eastward across Overton County in TN.
    Confidence in this feature maintaining its intensity over the next
    few hours is low to moderate considering a weakly forced
    environment, increasing CINH through evening, and downstream
    low-level flow parallel to the convergence zone. Regardless,
    extrapolation of this features may require a short-fused downstream
    watch for damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph.

    ..Barnes/Thompson.. 05/22/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9yJomZXRplLO8P6obsupaG2xQLHFy74Px_z_NKXCm0qVcU09m2V5rGlwkD54_9yZjp6OoBtuv= K5HYZKukPlSywHv9BA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

    LAT...LON 35988469 36148488 36278486 36398469 36578472 36638489
    36628521 36668536 36928534 37288510 37358454 37348360
    36948332 36638363 36318362 36148371 35968385 35938423
    35988469=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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