ACUS11 KWNS 200642
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200642=20
OKZ000-200845-

Mesoscale Discussion 0848
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Areas affected...north-central and northeastern Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 265...266...

Valid 200642Z - 200845Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 265, 266
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe-weather risk will continue across portions of
north-central and northeastern Oklahoma -- largely within WW 266.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a cluster of strong/locally
severe storms ongoing across north-central and into northeastern
Oklahoma -- in the far southeastern corner of soon-to-expire WW 265
and western portions of WW 266.=20=20

Storms continue to regenerate on the southwestern flank of the
convection, resulting in a slow southward drift to the convection.=20
This is occurring as a strong (near 60 kt) southwesterly low-level
jet continues to provide a feed of high theta-e air atop low-level
convective outflow.=20=20

With deep-layer shear favorable for organized/rotating storms,
expect local/isolated -- but all-hazard -- severe risk to persist
for some time. As WW 265 expires, and as storms creep southward
with time, local WW extensions may be needed to cover the
persistent/evolving risk.

..Goss.. 05/20/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5P2aQ5jzA0nzLZqtxSxxTAQB7J7fQFOF7qYDcoJQum5L_9FruTV9eFCQB1fu0PTF-qluhNyO-= WT1mg0zL01AmTV4BaA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON 36199815 36549775 36709727 36379579 35889519 35559583
35489694 35659812 35909821 36199815=20


=3D =3D =3D
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