• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0748

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri May 10 21:49:14 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 102149
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 102148=20
    NCZ000-SCZ000-102315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0748
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0448 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

    Areas affected...Parts of SC into eastern NC

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231...

    Valid 102148Z - 102315Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for hail and damaging gusts will spread
    southeastward toward the coast into this evening.

    DISCUSSION...Numerous small cells (some exhibiting supercell
    characteristics) have produced scattered hail reports in the 1.0 -
    1.75 inch diameter range through the afternoon, within an
    environment characterized by MLCAPE of 750-1500 J/kg and moderate
    deep-layer shear. Any remaining discrete cells will be capable of
    producing hail of a similar size into this evening. There has been
    some tendency for gradually increasing outflow and clustering of
    storms, which could result in a somewhat greater threat for damaging
    wind, especially in areas from SC into southeast NC, where warmer
    temperatures and relatively greater instability remain in place.=20

    The primary severe threat should continue to spread toward the
    coast, though a couple stronger cells could trail the primary band
    of convection with an isolated severe threat into this evening.

    ..Dean.. 05/10/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-Lpuyv-zAbmzDFB9Wpt4eZWSVCLWgZVveZ6HhkPZIEWHXSvHU0O-NDYVmDdMQcWTOwc8bpN47= hkfbczkMjdUftk6WV4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

    LAT...LON 34788124 34877893 35867712 36077606 36037549 35497535
    34667609 33737785 33257870 33227918 33417998 33608065
    33768123 33868143 34148166 34788124=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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